A Escola das Odds

Alexei Popyrin v Kamil Majchrzak

Início: 2026-02-24 15:40 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alexei Popyrin (Local)

Previsão 53.62%1.87odd justa
EV -1.88%
Vantagem -1.03%
Kelly -2.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.57%53.66%55.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.681.771.791.8359.52%56.38%56.02%54.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kamil Majchrzak (Visitante)

Previsão 46.38%2.16odd justa
EV -0.281%
Vantagem -0.131%
Kelly -0.244%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.73%46.43%46.34%48.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.032.022.1551.28%49.19%49.50%46.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.88%E -1.03%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-24 15:29
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -2.95%E -1.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-24 15:29
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 15:30
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 15:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 15:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 15:30
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 15:30
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 15:30
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 15:30
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.02%E -2.25%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.38%E -2.64%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 15:30
Bet Right1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.02%E -2.25%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-24 15:30
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-24 15:30
PlayUp1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 15:30
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-24 15:30
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 15:30
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 15:30
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 15:30
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 15:30
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.38%E -2.64%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 15:30
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.38%E -2.64%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 15:28
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.63%E -3.20%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 15:30
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.17%E -3.52%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.53%E -1.70%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 15:30
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.17%E -3.52%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 15:30
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.70%E -3.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.281%E -0.131%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-24 15:30
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.70%E -3.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.281%E -0.131%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-24 15:30
NordicBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.70%E -3.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 15:30
Betsson1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.70%E -3.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 15:30
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.70%E -3.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 15:30
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.70%E -3.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 15:30
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.70%E -3.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.24%E -4.18%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 15:30
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.24%E -4.18%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.24%E -4.18%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 15:30
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.24%E -4.18%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 15:30
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.31%E -4.86%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 15:29
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.31%E -4.86%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-24 15:30
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -9.92%E -5.90%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-24 15:28
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-02-24 15:30