Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Alexei Popyrin v Kamil Majchrzak

Inizio: 2026-02-24 15:40 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

52 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Alexei Popyrin (Casa)

Previsione 53.62%1.87quota equa
EV -1.88%
Vantaggio -1.03%
Kelly -2.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.00%53.57%53.66%55.27%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.681.771.791.8359.52%56.38%56.02%54.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Kamil Majchrzak (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.38%2.16quota equa
EV -0.281%
Vantaggio -0.131%
Kelly -0.244%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.73%46.43%46.34%48.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.032.022.1551.28%49.19%49.50%46.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Alexei Popyrin (Casa): 53.62%; Kamil Majchrzak (Trasferta): 46.38%. Per Kamil Majchrzak (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.16. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.15, con un valore atteso del -0.281%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.88%E -1.03%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-24 15:29
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -2.95%E -1.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-24 15:29
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 15:30
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 15:30
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 15:30
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 15:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 15:30
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 15:30
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.02%E -2.25%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.38%E -2.64%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 15:30
Bet Right🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.02%E -2.25%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.31%E -3.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-24 15:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-24 15:30
PlayUp🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.56%E -2.56%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 15:30
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-24 15:30
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 15:30
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-24 15:30
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 15:30
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 15:30
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.38%E -2.64%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 15:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.09%E -2.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.38%E -2.64%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 15:28
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.63%E -3.20%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 15:30
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.17%E -3.52%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.53%E -1.70%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 15:30
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.17%E -3.52%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.56%E -4.90%K -10.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 15:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.70%E -3.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.281%E -0.131%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-24 15:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.70%E -3.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.281%E -0.131%K -0.244%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-24 15:30
NordicBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.70%E -3.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 15:30
Betsson🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.70%E -3.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.70%E -3.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 15:30
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.70%E -3.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 15:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.70%E -3.85%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.92%E -2.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.24%E -4.18%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 15:30
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.24%E -4.18%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.24%E -4.18%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 15:30
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.24%E -4.18%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 15:30
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.31%E -4.86%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.60%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 15:29
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.31%E -4.86%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.24%E -3.62%K -7.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-24 15:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -9.92%E -5.90%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -4.46%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-24 15:28
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-02-24 15:30