Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Yannick Hanfmann v Luca Van Assche

Início: 2026-08-14 16:35 UTC

Final: Yannick Hanfmann 2–0 Luca Van Assche

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Yannick Hanfmann (Local)

Previsão 53.45%1.87odd justa
EV -1.11%
Vantagem -0.601%
Kelly -1.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.44%53.41%53.48%55.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.761.761.8559.88%56.69%56.82%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Luca Van Assche (Visitante)

Previsão 46.55%2.15odd justa
EV -0.856%
Vantagem -0.402%
Kelly -0.757%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.88%46.59%46.52%48.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.042.052.1351.28%48.94%48.78%46.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Yannick Hanfmann (Local): 53.45%; Luca Van Assche (Visitante): 46.55%. Para Luca Van Assche (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.15. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.13, com valor esperado de -0.856%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -1.11%E -0.601%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -7.84%E -3.96%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.11%E -0.601%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.77%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 14:49
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -1.65%E -0.895%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -8.77%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 14:50
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.18%E -1.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -4.11%E -2.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 15:55
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.71%E -1.49%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.18%E -1.53%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 16:29
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.856%E -0.402%K -0.757%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-14 11:14
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 14:50
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 16:24
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 16:25
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 16:18
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 14:49
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.84%E -3.96%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.77%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 15:25
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.77%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.23%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 15:24
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.23%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 15:25
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.23%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 13:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.85%E -2.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 16:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.85%E -2.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.85%E -2.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.51%E -2.71%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 16:34
PlayUp🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.85%E -2.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 16:19
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.39%E -3.04%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 15:14
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.39%E -3.04%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 16:34
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.39%E -3.04%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.39%E -3.04%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 16:30
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.39%E -3.04%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.92%E -3.36%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.65%E -1.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 14:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.92%E -3.36%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 16:30
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:29
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:25
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:29
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.32%E -0.623%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 16:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 09:49
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 16:29
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:35
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:35
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:34
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:35
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:34
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:34
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:34
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 14:23
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 14:49
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 14:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.59%E -5.03%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 11:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -4.11%E -2.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 12:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 14:04
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -10.73%E -6.43%K -16.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 16:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-08-14 16:25
Matchbook◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-08-14 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-08-14 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-08-14 16:30
ProphetX◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-08-14 16:30
Novig◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-08-14 16:30