Langue:Français
Yannick Hanfmann v Luca Van Assche
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Yannick Hanfmann (Local)
Prévision 53.45%1.87cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.601%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.44%53.41%53.48%55.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.671.761.761.8559.88%56.69%56.82%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Luca Van Assche (Visiteur)
Prévision 46.55%2.15cote équitable
EV -0.856%
Avantage -0.402%
Kelly -0.757%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.13
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.88%46.59%46.52%48.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.042.052.1351.28%48.94%48.78%46.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Yannick Hanfmann (Local) : 53.45% ; Luca Van Assche (Visiteur) : 46.55%. Pour Luca Van Assche (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.15. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.13, pour une espérance de -0.856% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -1.11%E -0.601%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -7.84%E -3.96%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.11%E -0.601%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.77%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 14:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -1.65%E -0.895%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -8.77%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.18%E -1.19%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -4.11%E -2.00%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 15:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.71%E -1.49%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.18%E -1.53%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.856%E -0.402%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 16:18 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 14:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.84%E -3.96%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.77%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 15:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.77%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.23%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 15:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.23%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 15:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.23%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 13:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.85%E -2.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.85%E -2.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.85%E -2.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.51%E -2.71%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 16:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.85%E -2.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 16:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.39%E -3.04%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 15:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.39%E -3.04%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 16:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.39%E -3.04%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.39%E -3.04%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.39%E -3.04%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.92%E -3.36%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.65%E -1.76%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.92%E -3.36%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.32%E -0.623%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 14:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 14:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 14:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.59%E -5.03%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -4.11%E -2.00%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 14:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -10.73%E -6.43%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 16:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00% | 0.2% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |