StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Yannick Hanfmann v Luca Van Assche

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-14 16:35 UTC

Endstand: Yannick Hanfmann 2–0 Luca Van Assche

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Yannick Hanfmann (Heim)

Prognose 53.45%1.87faire Quote
EV -1.11%
Vorteil -0.601%
Kelly -1.31%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.85

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
51.44%53.41%53.48%55.12%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.671.761.761.8559.88%56.69%56.82%54.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Luca Van Assche (Auswärts)

Prognose 46.55%2.15faire Quote
EV -0.856%
Vorteil -0.402%
Kelly -0.757%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.13

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
44.88%46.59%46.52%48.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.952.042.052.1351.28%48.94%48.78%46.95%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Yannick Hanfmann (Heim): 53.45%; Luca Van Assche (Auswärts): 46.55%. Für Luca Van Assche (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.15. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.13, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.856%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -1.11%E -0.601%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -7.84%E -3.96%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.11%E -0.601%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.77%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 14:49
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -1.65%E -0.895%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -8.77%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 14:50
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.18%E -1.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -4.11%E -2.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 15:55
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.71%E -1.49%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.18%E -1.53%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 16:29
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.856%E -0.402%K -0.757%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-14 11:14
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 14:50
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 16:24
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 16:25
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 16:18
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 14:49
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.84%E -3.96%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.77%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 15:25
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.77%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.23%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 15:24
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.23%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 15:25
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.23%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 13:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.85%E -2.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 16:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.85%E -2.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.85%E -2.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.51%E -2.71%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 16:34
PlayUp🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.85%E -2.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 16:19
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.39%E -3.04%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 15:14
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.39%E -3.04%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 16:34
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.39%E -3.04%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.39%E -3.04%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 16:30
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.39%E -3.04%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.92%E -3.36%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.65%E -1.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 14:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.92%E -3.36%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 16:30
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:29
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:25
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:29
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.32%E -0.623%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 16:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 09:49
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 16:29
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:35
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:35
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:34
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:35
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:34
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:34
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:34
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 14:23
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 14:49
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 14:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.59%E -5.03%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 11:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -4.11%E -2.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 12:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 14:04
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -10.73%E -6.43%K -16.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 16:34
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-08-14 16:25
Matchbook◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-08-14 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-08-14 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-08-14 16:30
ProphetX◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-08-14 16:30
Novig◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-08-14 16:30