Idioma:Español
Yannick Hanfmann v Luca Van Assche
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Yannick Hanfmann (Local)
Predicción 53.45%1.87momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -0.601%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.44%53.41%53.48%55.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.761.761.8559.88%56.69%56.82%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Luca Van Assche (Visitante)
Predicción 46.55%2.15momio equitativo
EV -0.856%
Ventaja -0.402%
Kelly -0.757%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.88%46.59%46.52%48.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.042.052.1351.28%48.94%48.78%46.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Yannick Hanfmann (Local): 53.45%; Luca Van Assche (Visitante): 46.55%. Para Luca Van Assche (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.15. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.13, con un valor esperado de -0.856%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -1.11%E -0.601%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -7.84%E -3.96%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.11%E -0.601%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.77%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 14:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -1.65%E -0.895%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -8.77%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.18%E -1.19%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -4.11%E -2.00%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 15:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.71%E -1.49%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.18%E -1.53%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.856%E -0.402%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 16:18 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 14:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.84%E -3.96%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.77%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 15:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.77%E -4.47%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.23%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 15:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.23%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 15:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.78%E -2.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.23%E -4.74%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 13:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.85%E -2.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.85%E -2.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.85%E -2.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.51%E -2.71%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 16:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.85%E -2.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 16:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.39%E -3.04%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 15:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.39%E -3.04%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 16:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.39%E -3.04%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 14:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.39%E -3.04%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.39%E -3.04%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.92%E -3.36%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.65%E -1.76%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.92%E -3.36%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -1.32%E -0.623%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.99%E -4.02%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 14:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 14:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 14:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.59%E -5.03%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.25%E -1.07%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -4.11%E -2.00%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.13%E -5.37%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.58%E -2.23%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 14:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -10.73%E -6.43%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -6.91%E -3.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 16:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00% | 0.2% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |