Language:English
Thiago Agustin Tirante v Martin Landaluce
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)
Prediction 55.75%1.79fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.747%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%55.88%55.70%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.671.7761.73%59.45%59.88%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Martin Landaluce (Visit)
Prediction 44.25%2.26fair odd
EV -0.438%
Edge -0.195%
Kelly -0.351%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%44.12%44.30%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.152.2550.00%46.38%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local): 55.75%; Martin Landaluce (Visit): 44.25%. For Martin Landaluce (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -0.438%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.32%E -0.747%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 15:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.77%E -0.795%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-17 15:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.19%E -2.92%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -8.40%E -4.06%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.55%E -2.05%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 04:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.55%E -2.05%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-17 15:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.75%E -2.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.67%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 10:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.67%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.67%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.67%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 14:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.67%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 10:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.67%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.67%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.19%E -2.92%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.78%E -3.42%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 12:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.65%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 14:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.65%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 09:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.65%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 09:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 09:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 13:38 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 14:47 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 13:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 14:47 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 14:47 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -11.50%E -5.75%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.438%E -0.195%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.65%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 14:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.65%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 09:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 09:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-17 15:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -9.13%E -5.60%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-17 10:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.68%E -5.98%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-17 09:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03% | 0.9% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.9% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |