Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.77
avec la cote maximale 2.25
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local) : 55.75% ; Martin Landaluce (Visiteur) : 44.25%. Pour Martin Landaluce (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.26. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.25, pour une espérance de -0.438% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.32%E -0.747%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 15:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.77%E -0.795%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-17 15:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.19%E -2.92%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -8.40%E -4.06%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.55%E -2.05%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 04:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.55%E -2.05%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-17 15:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.75%E -2.70%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.67%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 10:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.67%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.67%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.67%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 14:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.67%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 10:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.67%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.67%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.19%E -2.92%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.78%E -3.42%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 12:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.65%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 14:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.65%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 09:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.65%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 09:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 09:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 13:38 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 14:47 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 13:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 14:47 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 14:47 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -11.50%E -5.75%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.438%E -0.195%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 14:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.65%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 14:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.65%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 09:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 09:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-17 15:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -9.13%E -5.60%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-17 10:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.68%E -5.98%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-17 09:29 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-08-17 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03% | 0.9% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.9% | 2026-08-17 15:05 |