Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Martin Landaluce

Início: 2026-08-17 15:08 UTC

Final: Thiago Agustin Tirante 2–0 Martin Landaluce

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)

Previsão 55.75%1.79odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.747%
Kelly -1.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.26%55.88%55.70%57.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.681.671.7761.73%59.45%59.88%56.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Martin Landaluce (Visitante)

Previsão 44.25%2.26odd justa
EV -0.438%
Vantagem -0.195%
Kelly -0.351%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.31%44.12%44.30%45.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.162.152.2550.00%46.38%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local): 55.75%; Martin Landaluce (Visitante): 44.25%. Para Martin Landaluce (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.26. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.25, com valor esperado de -0.438%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.32%E -0.747%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 15:04
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.77%E -0.795%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-17 15:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 15:00
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.19%E -2.92%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 14:55
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -8.40%E -4.06%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 15:05
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.55%E -2.05%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 04:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.55%E -2.05%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 14:54
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-17 15:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 15:00
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.75%E -2.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 15:00
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.67%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 10:09
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.67%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.67%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 15:00
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.67%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 14:59
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.67%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 10:49
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.67%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 14:55
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.67%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 14:59
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 14:55
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.19%E -2.92%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 14:54
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 14:59
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 15:00
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 15:00
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.78%E -3.42%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 12:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.65%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 14:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.34%E -3.77%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 15:05
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.65%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 09:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.65%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 15:05
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 14:54
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 09:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 09:30
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 13:38
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 14:47
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 13:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 14:47
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 14:47
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 14:54
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 14:54
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 14:54
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.90%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -11.50%E -5.75%K -11.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 15:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.438%E -0.195%K -0.351%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 14:04
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 14:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 14:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 14:04
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 14:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 14:04
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 14:05
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 14:04
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 14:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 14:04
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 14:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 14:04
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.32%E -0.593%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 14:04
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.65%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 14:49
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.65%E -1.20%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 09:29
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 09:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.01%E -4.86%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-17 15:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -9.13%E -5.60%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-17 10:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.68%E -5.98%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -4.86%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-17 09:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-17 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-17 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-17 15:00
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-17 14:55
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-17 15:00
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-08-17 15:05
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-08-17 15:05