Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Terence Atmane v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 20:55 UTC

Final: Terence Atmane 2–0 Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Terence Atmane (Local)

Prediction 61.02%1.64fair odd
EV +0.688%
Edge +0.417%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%61.06%61.10%62.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.551.551.6568.03%64.40%64.52%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visit)

Prediction 38.98%2.57fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%38.94%38.90%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.432.452.5045.45%41.17%40.82%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Terence Atmane (Local): 61.02%; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visit): 38.98%. For Terence Atmane (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.688%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +0.688%E +0.417%K +1.06%G +0.007%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -14.25%E -6.48%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:39
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.14%E -0.705%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -14.25%E -6.48%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 19:04
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.97%E -1.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 17:24
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.97%E -1.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 17:20
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.97%E -1.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 20:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.58%E -2.27%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 20:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.58%E -2.27%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 20:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.58%E -2.27%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 20:00
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.58%E -2.27%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 20:50
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:15
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:19
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:14
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:19
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 20:45
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 20:44
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 20:49
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 19:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 09:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 20:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 20:49
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -6.07%E -2.52%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 20:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 07:45
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 20:15
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.40%E -3.58%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:43
FanDuel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 16:15
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.12%E -1.67%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 16:35
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.12%E -1.67%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 16:34
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:10
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:05
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:05
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:05
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:34
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.40%E -3.58%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 07:54
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.40%E -3.58%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 07:54
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.02%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 19:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -2.95%E -1.18%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 20:48
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 07:54
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 07:54
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 07:54
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 01:39
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 01:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -7.24%E -4.77%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 20:52
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.85%E -5.20%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 20:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.85%E -5.20%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 03:40
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 15:54
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 15:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.30%E -7.00%K -21.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-08-15 20:50
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-08-15 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-15 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-15 20:25
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-15 20:39
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-08-15 20:30
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-08-15 20:50