Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Terence Atmane v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Início: 2026-08-15 20:55 UTC

Final: Terence Atmane 2–0 Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Terence Atmane (Local)

Previsão 61.02%1.64odd justa
EV +0.688%
Vantagem +0.417%
Kelly +1.06%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.14%61.06%61.10%62.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.471.551.551.6568.03%64.40%64.52%60.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visitante)

Previsão 38.98%2.57odd justa
EV -2.56%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.03%38.94%38.90%42.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.432.452.5045.45%41.17%40.82%40.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Terence Atmane (Local): 61.02%; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visitante): 38.98%. Para Terence Atmane (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.64. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.65, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.688%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +0.688%E +0.417%K +1.06%G +0.007%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -14.25%E -6.48%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:39
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.14%E -0.705%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -14.25%E -6.48%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 19:04
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.97%E -1.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 17:24
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.97%E -1.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 17:20
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.97%E -1.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 20:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.58%E -2.27%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 20:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.58%E -2.27%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 20:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.58%E -2.27%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 20:00
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.58%E -2.27%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 20:50
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:15
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:19
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:14
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:19
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 20:45
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 20:44
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 20:49
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 19:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 09:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 20:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 20:49
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -6.07%E -2.52%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 20:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 07:45
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 20:15
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.40%E -3.58%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:43
FanDuel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 16:15
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.12%E -1.67%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 16:35
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.12%E -1.67%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 16:34
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:10
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:05
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:05
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:05
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:34
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.40%E -3.58%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 07:54
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.40%E -3.58%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 07:54
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.02%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 19:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -2.95%E -1.18%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 20:48
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 07:54
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 07:54
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 07:54
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 01:39
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 01:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -7.24%E -4.77%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 20:52
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.85%E -5.20%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 20:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.85%E -5.20%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 03:40
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 15:54
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 15:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.30%E -7.00%K -21.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 16:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-08-15 20:50
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-08-15 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-15 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-15 20:25
ProphetX◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-15 20:39
Novig◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-08-15 20:30
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-08-15 20:50