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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Terence Atmane v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Inicio: 2026-08-15 20:55 UTC

Final: Terence Atmane 2–0 Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Terence Atmane (Local)

Predicción 61.02%1.64momio equitativo
EV +0.688%
Ventaja +0.417%
Kelly +1.06%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.14%61.06%61.10%62.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.471.551.551.6568.03%64.40%64.52%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visitante)

Predicción 38.98%2.57momio equitativo
EV -2.56%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.03%38.94%38.90%42.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.432.452.5045.45%41.17%40.82%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Terence Atmane (Local): 61.02%; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visitante): 38.98%. Para Terence Atmane (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.64. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.65, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.688%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +0.688%E +0.417%K +1.06%G +0.007%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -14.25%E -6.48%K -11.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:39
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.14%E -0.705%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -14.25%E -6.48%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 19:04
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.97%E -1.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 17:24
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.97%E -1.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 17:20
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.97%E -1.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 20:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.58%E -2.27%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 20:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.58%E -2.27%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 20:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.58%E -2.27%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 20:00
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.58%E -2.27%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 20:50
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:15
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:19
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:14
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:19
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 20:45
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 20:44
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 20:49
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 19:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 09:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 20:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 20:49
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -6.07%E -2.52%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 20:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 07:45
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 20:15
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.40%E -3.58%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:43
FanDuel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 16:15
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.12%E -1.67%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 16:35
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.12%E -1.67%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 16:34
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:10
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:05
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:05
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:05
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:34
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.40%E -3.58%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 07:54
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.41%E -3.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.40%E -3.58%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 07:54
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.02%E -3.91%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 19:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -2.95%E -1.18%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 20:48
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 07:54
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 07:54
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 07:54
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 01:39
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 01:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -7.24%E -4.77%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -10.35%E -4.50%K -7.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 20:52
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.85%E -5.20%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.51%E -1.84%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 20:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.85%E -5.20%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 03:40
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 15:54
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.47%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 15:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.30%E -7.00%K -21.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 16:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-08-15 20:50
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-08-15 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-15 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-15 20:25
ProphetX◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-15 20:39
Novig◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-08-15 20:30
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-08-15 20:50