Idioma:Português
Taylor Fritz v Daniel Merida Aguilar
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Taylor Fritz (Local)
Previsão 77.92%1.28odd justa
EV -2.60%
Vantagem -2.08%
Kelly -10.39%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.25
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.25%77.96%77.90%79.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.171.221.221.2585.47%82.02%81.97%80.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Visitante)
Previsão 22.08%4.53odd justa
EV +3.10%
Vantagem +0.664%
Kelly +0.845%
Crescimento +0.026%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.67
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.28%22.04%22.10%24.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.804.234.204.6726.32%23.63%23.81%21.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Taylor Fritz (Local): 77.92%; Daniel Merida Aguilar (Visitante): 22.08%. Para Daniel Merida Aguilar (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.53. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.67, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.10%.
Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.15%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.85%EV +3.10%E +0.664%K +0.845%G +0.026% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +2.66%E +0.572%K +0.729%G +0.019% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +1.56%E +0.338%K +0.432%G +0.007% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.83%E -7.55%K -51.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.56%E +0.338%K +0.432%G +0.007% | 7.2% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.55%EV -3.38%E -2.72%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.45%EV +0.231%E +0.051%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.92%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.08%EV +0.010%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 04:03 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.38%E -2.72%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -0.652%E -0.145%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-18 08:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.652%E -0.145%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-18 13:02 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.652%E -0.145%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 14:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.652%E -0.145%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.83%E -7.55%K -51.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.652%E -0.145%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.83%E -7.55%K -51.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.652%E -0.145%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.86%E -0.650%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 13:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.86%E -0.650%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 13:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.86%E -0.650%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.86%E -0.650%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.83%E -7.55%K -51.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -2.86%E -0.650%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-18 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 15:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 08:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.17%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.17%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 14:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.17%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 15:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.17%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.17%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.80%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.20%EV -6.39%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 05:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 13:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 13:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 19:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 14:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.38%E -2.72%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.69%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.38%E -2.72%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.69%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 09:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.69%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.69%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.69%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 10:07 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.69%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.69%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.60%E -2.08%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.11%E -4.24%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 14:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.60%E -2.08%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.11%E -4.24%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 14:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.38%E -2.72%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -16.11%E -4.24%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.41% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.59% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 1.6% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.00% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.00% | 2.5% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |