Langue:Français
Taylor Fritz v Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Taylor Fritz (Local)
Prévision 77.92%1.28cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -2.08%
Kelly -10.39%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.25%77.96%77.90%79.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.171.221.221.2585.47%82.02%81.97%80.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.08%4.53cote équitable
EV +3.10%
Avantage +0.664%
Kelly +0.845%
Croissance +0.026%
avec la cote maximale 4.67
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.28%22.04%22.10%24.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.234.204.6726.32%23.63%23.81%21.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Taylor Fritz (Local) : 77.92% ; Daniel Merida Aguilar (Visiteur) : 22.08%. Pour Daniel Merida Aguilar (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.53. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.67, soit une espérance positive de +3.10%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.15%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.85%EV +3.10%E +0.664%K +0.845%G +0.026% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +2.66%E +0.572%K +0.729%G +0.019% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +1.56%E +0.338%K +0.432%G +0.007% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.83%E -7.55%K -51.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.56%E +0.338%K +0.432%G +0.007% | 7.2% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.55%EV -3.38%E -2.72%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.45%EV +0.231%E +0.051%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.92%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.08%EV +0.010%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 04:03 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.38%E -2.72%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -0.652%E -0.145%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-18 08:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.652%E -0.145%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-18 13:02 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.652%E -0.145%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 14:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.652%E -0.145%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.83%E -7.55%K -51.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.652%E -0.145%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.83%E -7.55%K -51.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.652%E -0.145%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.86%E -0.650%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 13:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.86%E -0.650%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 13:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.86%E -0.650%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.86%E -0.650%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.83%E -7.55%K -51.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -2.86%E -0.650%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-18 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 15:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 08:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.17%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.17%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 14:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.17%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 15:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.17%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.17%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.80%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.20%EV -6.39%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 05:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 13:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 13:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 19:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 14:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.38%E -2.72%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.69%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.38%E -2.72%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.69%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 09:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.69%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.69%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.69%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 10:07 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.69%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.69%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.60%E -2.08%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.11%E -4.24%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 14:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.60%E -2.08%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.11%E -4.24%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 14:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.38%E -2.72%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -16.11%E -4.24%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.41% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.59% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 1.6% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.00% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.00% | 2.5% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |