Sprache:Deutsch
Taylor Fritz v Daniel Merida Aguilar
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Taylor Fritz (Heim)
Prognose 77.92%1.28faire Quote
EV -2.60%
Vorteil -2.08%
Kelly -10.39%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.25
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
75.25%77.96%77.90%79.72%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.171.221.221.2585.47%82.02%81.97%80.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Auswärts)
Prognose 22.08%4.53faire Quote
EV +3.10%
Vorteil +0.664%
Kelly +0.845%
Wachstum +0.026%
bei einer Höchstquote von 4.67
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.28%22.04%22.10%24.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.804.234.204.6726.32%23.63%23.81%21.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Taylor Fritz (Heim): 77.92%; Daniel Merida Aguilar (Auswärts): 22.08%. Für Daniel Merida Aguilar (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.53. 6 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.67 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.10%.
Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.15%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.85%EV +3.10%E +0.664%K +0.845%G +0.026% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +2.66%E +0.572%K +0.729%G +0.019% | 4.8% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +1.56%E +0.338%K +0.432%G +0.007% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.83%E -7.55%K -51.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.56%E +0.338%K +0.432%G +0.007% | 7.2% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.55%EV -3.38%E -2.72%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.45%EV +0.231%E +0.051%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.92%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.08%EV +0.010%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 04:03 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.38%E -2.72%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -0.652%E -0.145%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-18 08:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.652%E -0.145%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-18 13:02 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.652%E -0.145%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 14:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.652%E -0.145%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.83%E -7.55%K -51.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.652%E -0.145%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.83%E -7.55%K -51.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.652%E -0.145%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.86%E -0.650%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 13:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.86%E -0.650%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 13:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -2.86%E -0.650%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.86%E -0.650%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.83%E -7.55%K -51.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -2.86%E -0.650%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-18 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 15:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 08:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.17%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.17%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 14:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.17%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 15:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.17%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.17%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.80%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.20%EV -6.39%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 05:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 13:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 13:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.71%E -4.72%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.38%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 19:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.48%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 14:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.38%E -2.72%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.69%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.38%E -2.72%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.69%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 09:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.69%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.69%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 14:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.93%E -4.04%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.69%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 10:07 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.69%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.49%E -5.41%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.69%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.60%E -2.08%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.11%E -4.24%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 14:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.60%E -2.08%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -16.11%E -4.24%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 14:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -3.38%E -2.72%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -16.11%E -4.24%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 15:05 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.41% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.59% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 1.6% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.00% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.00% | 2.5% | 2026-08-18 16:35 |