Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rinky Hijikata v Jakub Mensik

Início: 2026-08-17 23:13 UTC

Final: Rinky Hijikata 0–2 Jakub Mensik

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rinky Hijikata (Local)

Previsão 25.02%4.00odd justa
EV +7.09%
Vantagem +1.66%
Kelly +2.16%
Crescimento +0.153%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.30%24.82%25.30%27.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.453.783.754.2828.99%26.47%26.67%23.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jakub Mensik (Visitante)

Previsão 74.98%1.33odd justa
EV -2.53%
Vantagem -1.94%
Kelly -8.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.63%75.18%74.70%77.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.221.261.271.3081.97%79.09%78.74%76.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Rinky Hijikata (Local): 25.02%; Jakub Mensik (Visitante): 74.98%. Para Rinky Hijikata (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.00. 9 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.28, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.09%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯4.28I 23.36%NM 22.88%EV +7.09%E +1.66%K +2.16%G +0.153%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.12%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-17 23:05
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +6.34%E +1.49%K +1.95%G +0.124%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 23:04
DraftKings🎯4.11I 24.33%NM 23.18%EV +2.84%E +0.690%K +0.912%G +0.026%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 22:59
Coolbet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +2.59%E +0.631%K +0.834%G +0.022%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-17 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +2.59%E +0.631%K +0.834%G +0.022%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-17 18:43
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +2.59%E +0.631%K +0.834%G +0.022%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-17 21:24
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +0.084%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-17 19:10
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.084%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 21:04
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.084%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 19:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -0.166%E -0.042%K -0.055%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-17 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -0.166%E -0.042%K -0.055%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-17 23:05
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -2.42%E -0.620%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 18:54
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -2.42%E -0.620%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -2.42%E -0.620%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 18:59
BetAnything🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -3.92%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 22:55
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 19:14
Fliff🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 22:59
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 22:59
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 14:24
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
Bally Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 21:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 19:54
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 19:54
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 19:55
1xBet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -6.42%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.03%E -3.15%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV -6.67%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 22:28
ReBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.03%E -3.15%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 19:08
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.03%E -3.15%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 19:10
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.03%E -3.15%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 19:10
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 19:09
LeoVegas🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 19:09
PMU (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 20:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 18:35
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 18:15
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 18:15
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 18:55
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 18:54
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 13:59
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 19:33
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 19:38
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.03%E -3.15%K -14.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 19:59
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -13.68%E -3.96%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.53%E -1.94%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 23:02
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%0.2%2026-08-17 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-08-17 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-08-17 23:00
Matchbook◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-08-17 22:55
ProphetX◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-08-17 23:00
Novig◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51%2.1%2026-08-17 22:55
Smarkets◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%3.2%2026-08-17 23:05