StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Rinky Hijikata v Jakub Mensik

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-17 23:13 UTC

Endstand: Rinky Hijikata 0–2 Jakub Mensik

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Rinky Hijikata (Heim)

Prognose 25.02%4.00faire Quote
EV +7.09%
Vorteil +1.66%
Kelly +2.16%
Wachstum +0.153%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.28

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.30%24.82%25.30%27.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.453.783.754.2828.99%26.47%26.67%23.36%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Jakub Mensik (Auswärts)

Prognose 74.98%1.33faire Quote
EV -2.53%
Vorteil -1.94%
Kelly -8.42%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
72.63%75.18%74.70%77.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.221.261.271.3081.97%79.09%78.74%76.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Rinky Hijikata (Heim): 25.02%; Jakub Mensik (Auswärts): 74.98%. Für Rinky Hijikata (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.00. 9 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.28 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +7.09%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯4.28I 23.36%NM 22.88%EV +7.09%E +1.66%K +2.16%G +0.153%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.12%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-17 23:05
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +6.34%E +1.49%K +1.95%G +0.124%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 23:04
DraftKings🎯4.11I 24.33%NM 23.18%EV +2.84%E +0.690%K +0.912%G +0.026%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 22:59
Coolbet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +2.59%E +0.631%K +0.834%G +0.022%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-17 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +2.59%E +0.631%K +0.834%G +0.022%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-17 18:43
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +2.59%E +0.631%K +0.834%G +0.022%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-17 21:24
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +0.084%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-17 19:10
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.084%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 21:04
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.084%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 19:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -0.166%E -0.042%K -0.055%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-17 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -0.166%E -0.042%K -0.055%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-17 23:05
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -2.42%E -0.620%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 18:54
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -2.42%E -0.620%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -2.42%E -0.620%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 18:59
BetAnything🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -3.92%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 22:55
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 19:14
Fliff🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 22:59
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 22:59
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 14:24
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
Bally Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 21:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:10
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 18:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 19:54
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 19:54
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 19:55
1xBet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -6.42%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.03%E -3.15%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV -6.67%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 22:28
ReBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.03%E -3.15%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 19:08
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.03%E -3.15%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 19:10
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.03%E -3.15%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 19:10
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 19:09
LeoVegas🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 19:09
PMU (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 20:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 18:35
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 18:15
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 18:15
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 18:55
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 18:54
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 13:59
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 19:33
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 19:38
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.03%E -3.15%K -14.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 19:59
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -13.68%E -3.96%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.53%E -1.94%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 23:02
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%0.2%2026-08-17 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-08-17 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-08-17 23:00
Matchbook◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-08-17 22:55
ProphetX◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-08-17 23:00
Novig◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51%2.1%2026-08-17 22:55
Smarkets◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%3.2%2026-08-17 23:05