Langue:Français
Rinky Hijikata v Jakub Mensik
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Rinky Hijikata (Local)
Prévision 25.02%4.00cote équitable
EV +7.09%
Avantage +1.66%
Kelly +2.16%
Croissance +0.153%
avec la cote maximale 4.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.30%24.82%25.30%27.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.783.754.2828.99%26.47%26.67%23.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Jakub Mensik (Visiteur)
Prévision 74.98%1.33cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -1.94%
Kelly -8.42%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.63%75.18%74.70%77.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.261.271.3081.97%79.09%78.74%76.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Rinky Hijikata (Local) : 25.02% ; Jakub Mensik (Visiteur) : 74.98%. Pour Rinky Hijikata (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.00. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.28, soit une espérance positive de +7.09%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.88%EV +7.09%E +1.66%K +2.16%G +0.153% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.12%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-17 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +6.34%E +1.49%K +1.95%G +0.124% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 23:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.18%EV +2.84%E +0.690%K +0.912%G +0.026% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +2.59%E +0.631%K +0.834%G +0.022% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-17 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +2.59%E +0.631%K +0.834%G +0.022% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-17 18:43 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +2.59%E +0.631%K +0.834%G +0.022% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-17 21:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +0.084%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-17 19:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.084%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 21:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.084%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -0.166%E -0.042%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-17 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -0.166%E -0.042%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-17 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -2.42%E -0.620%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 18:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -2.42%E -0.620%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -2.42%E -0.620%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 18:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -3.92%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 22:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 19:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 22:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 22:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 14:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 21:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 18:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-17 19:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -6.42%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.03%E -3.15%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV -6.67%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 22:28 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-17 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.03%E -3.15%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 19:08 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.03%E -3.15%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 19:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.03%E -3.15%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 19:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 19:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 19:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 23:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-17 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-17 19:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-17 19:38 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.03%E -3.15%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 19:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -13.68%E -3.96%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.53%E -1.94%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 23:02 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 0.2% | 2026-08-17 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51% | 2.1% | 2026-08-17 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92% | 3.2% | 2026-08-17 23:05 |