Język:Polski
Rinky Hijikata v Jakub Mensik
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Rinky Hijikata (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 25.02%4.00kurs godziwy
EV +7.09%
Przewaga +1.66%
Kelly +2.16%
Wzrost +0.153%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.28
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.30%24.82%25.30%27.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.453.783.754.2828.99%26.47%26.67%23.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Jakub Mensik (Goście)
Prognoza 74.98%1.33kurs godziwy
EV -2.53%
Przewaga -1.94%
Kelly -8.42%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.30
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
72.63%75.18%74.70%77.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.221.261.271.3081.97%79.09%78.74%76.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Rinky Hijikata (Gospodarze): 25.02%; Jakub Mensik (Goście): 74.98%. Dla wyniku Rinky Hijikata (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.00. 9 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.28, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +7.09%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.88%EV +7.09%E +1.66%K +2.16%G +0.153% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.12%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-17 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +6.34%E +1.49%K +1.95%G +0.124% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 23:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.18%EV +2.84%E +0.690%K +0.912%G +0.026% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +2.59%E +0.631%K +0.834%G +0.022% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-17 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +2.59%E +0.631%K +0.834%G +0.022% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-17 18:43 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +2.59%E +0.631%K +0.834%G +0.022% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-17 21:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +0.084%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-17 19:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.084%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 21:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.084%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -0.166%E -0.042%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-17 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -0.166%E -0.042%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-17 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -2.42%E -0.620%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 18:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -2.42%E -0.620%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -2.42%E -0.620%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 18:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.67%E -0.953%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -3.92%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 22:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 19:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -4.92%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.03%E -5.67%K -29.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 22:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 22:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-17 14:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 21:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 18:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.53%E -6.99%K -38.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-17 19:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -6.42%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.03%E -3.15%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV -6.67%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 22:28 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-17 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.03%E -3.15%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 19:08 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.03%E -3.15%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 19:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.03%E -3.15%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 19:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.78%E -3.76%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 19:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.42%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 19:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.67%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 20:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 23:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.28%E -2.54%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.53%E -4.39%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-17 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-17 19:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.92%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.28%E -5.02%K -25.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-17 19:38 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.03%E -3.15%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 19:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -13.68%E -3.96%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.53%E -1.94%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 23:02 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 0.2% | 2026-08-17 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51% | 2.1% | 2026-08-17 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92% | 3.2% | 2026-08-17 23:05 |