Language:English
Nuno Borges v Thanasi Kokkinakis
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nuno Borges (Local)
Prediction 67.13%1.49fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -7.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.53%67.16%67.06%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.411.411.4474.07%71.17%70.92%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Thanasi Kokkinakis (Visit)
Prediction 32.87%3.04fair odd
EV +2.24%
Edge +0.720%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 3.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.19%32.84%32.94%34.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.882.903.1137.04%34.70%34.48%32.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nuno Borges (Local): 67.13%; Thanasi Kokkinakis (Visit): 32.87%. For Thanasi Kokkinakis (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.04. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.11, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV +2.24%E +0.720%K +1.06%G +0.024% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +0.268%E +0.088%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 18:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -0.719%E -0.238%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -1.05%E -0.348%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -1.05%E -0.348%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.38%E -0.459%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.38%E -0.459%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.38%E -0.459%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 15:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.38%E -0.459%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 18:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.38%E -0.459%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 18:51 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.34%E -2.32%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 18:53 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 19:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.70%E -4.82%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.38%E -6.95%K -26.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -3.35%E -1.14%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.52%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.48%EV -4.33%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 18:53 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.01%E -2.80%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 18:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 17:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -7.37%E -5.34%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.32%EV -4.99%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.34%E -2.32%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.32%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.32%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 18:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.32%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.71%E -6.40%K -24.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.32%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 15:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.71%E -6.40%K -24.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.32%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.65%E -1.97%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.65%E -1.97%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 17:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 18:52 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 16:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -9.38%E -6.95%K -26.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 18:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 18:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.37%E -5.34%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 11:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.37%E -5.34%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 18:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.71%E -6.40%K -24.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 18:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.34%E -2.32%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 17:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 17:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 18:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.24%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 17:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 19:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-08-14 19:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.7% | 2026-08-14 19:00 |