Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nuno Borges v Thanasi Kokkinakis

Início: 2026-08-14 19:01 UTC

Final: Nuno Borges 2–1 Thanasi Kokkinakis

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nuno Borges (Local)

Previsão 67.13%1.49odd justa
EV -3.34%
Vantagem -2.32%
Kelly -7.59%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.53%67.16%67.06%68.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.351.411.411.4474.07%71.17%70.92%69.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Thanasi Kokkinakis (Visitante)

Previsão 32.87%3.04odd justa
EV +2.24%
Vantagem +0.720%
Kelly +1.06%
Crescimento +0.024%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.19%32.84%32.94%34.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.882.903.1137.04%34.70%34.48%32.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Nuno Borges (Local): 67.13%; Thanasi Kokkinakis (Visitante): 32.87%. Para Thanasi Kokkinakis (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.04. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.11, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.24%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV +2.24%E +0.720%K +1.06%G +0.024%3.1%2026-08-14 18:55
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +0.268%E +0.088%K +0.131%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 18:45
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -0.719%E -0.238%K -0.356%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 18:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -1.05%E -0.348%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -1.05%E -0.348%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 18:14
BetAnything🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.38%E -0.459%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 16:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.38%E -0.459%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 18:14
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.38%E -0.459%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 15:55
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.38%E -0.459%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 18:54
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.38%E -0.459%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 18:51
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.34%E -2.32%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 18:53
ReBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 19:00
FanDuel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 18:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.70%E -4.82%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 18:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.38%E -6.95%K -26.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 15:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -3.35%E -1.14%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 16:30
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.52%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.48%EV -4.33%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 18:53
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.01%E -2.80%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 18:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:49
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:49
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:49
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:49
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:49
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:49
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:49
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:50
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 17:44
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -7.37%E -5.34%K -19.39%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.32%EV -4.99%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 18:14
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.34%E -2.32%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.32%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 15:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.32%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.32%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 17:25
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.71%E -6.40%K -24.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.32%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 15:49
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.71%E -6.40%K -24.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.32%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 15:50
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.65%E -1.97%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.65%E -1.97%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 17:44
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 18:55
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 18:52
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 16:09
Fliff🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -9.38%E -6.95%K -26.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 18:54
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 18:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.37%E -5.34%K -19.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 11:50
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.37%E -5.34%K -19.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 18:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.71%E -6.40%K -24.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 18:54
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.34%E -2.32%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 17:45
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 17:45
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 18:43
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 18:55
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 15:44
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 15:44
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 18:54
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.24%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 17:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-08-14 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-08-14 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-08-14 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-08-14 19:00
Novig◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-08-14 19:00
ProphetX◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-08-14 19:00