Idioma:Español
Nuno Borges v Thanasi Kokkinakis
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nuno Borges (Local)
Predicción 67.13%1.49momio equitativo
EV -3.34%
Ventaja -2.32%
Kelly -7.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.53%67.16%67.06%68.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.351.411.411.4474.07%71.17%70.92%69.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Thanasi Kokkinakis (Visitante)
Predicción 32.87%3.04momio equitativo
EV +2.24%
Ventaja +0.720%
Kelly +1.06%
Crecimiento +0.024%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.19%32.84%32.94%34.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.882.903.1137.04%34.70%34.48%32.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Nuno Borges (Local): 67.13%; Thanasi Kokkinakis (Visitante): 32.87%. Para Thanasi Kokkinakis (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.04. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.11, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.24%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV +2.24%E +0.720%K +1.06%G +0.024% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +0.268%E +0.088%K +0.131%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 18:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -0.719%E -0.238%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -1.05%E -0.348%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -1.05%E -0.348%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.38%E -0.459%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.38%E -0.459%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.38%E -0.459%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 15:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.38%E -0.459%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 18:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.38%E -0.459%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 18:51 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -3.34%E -2.32%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 18:53 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 19:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -6.70%E -4.82%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.38%E -6.95%K -26.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -3.02%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -3.35%E -1.14%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.52%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.48%EV -4.33%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 18:53 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.01%E -2.80%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 18:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.35%E -3.80%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 11:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.66%E -1.61%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 17:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -7.37%E -5.34%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.32%EV -4.99%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.34%E -2.32%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.32%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.32%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 18:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.32%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.71%E -6.40%K -24.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.32%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 15:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.71%E -6.40%K -24.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.32%E -1.85%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.65%E -1.97%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.65%E -1.97%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 17:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 18:52 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 16:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -9.38%E -6.95%K -26.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -6.31%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 18:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 18:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.37%E -5.34%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 11:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.37%E -5.34%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 18:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.71%E -6.40%K -24.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.95%E -2.84%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 18:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.34%E -2.32%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 17:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 17:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.02%E -4.30%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.59%E -3.49%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 18:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.68%E -3.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.24%E -4.16%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 17:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 19:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-08-14 19:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.7% | 2026-08-14 19:00 |