Język:Polski
Martin Landaluce v Matteo Arnaldi
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Martin Landaluce (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 54.49%1.84kurs godziwy
EV +0.260%
Przewaga +0.141%
Kelly +0.309%
Wzrost +0.001%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.84
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
52.00%54.45%54.69%57.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.651.731.731.8460.61%57.77%57.64%54.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Matteo Arnaldi (Goście)
Prognoza 45.51%2.20kurs godziwy
EV +2.40%
Przewaga +1.07%
Kelly +1.92%
Wzrost +0.046%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.25
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
42.89%45.55%45.31%48.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.952.092.102.2551.28%47.94%47.62%44.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Martin Landaluce (Gospodarze): 54.49%; Matteo Arnaldi (Goście): 45.51%. Dla wyniku Matteo Arnaldi (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.20. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.25, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.40%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -7.91%E -4.68%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +2.40%E +1.07%K +1.92%G +0.046% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -7.91%E -4.68%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +2.40%E +1.07%K +1.92%G +0.046% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%EV +1.03%E +0.466%K +0.848%G +0.009% | 2.8% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -8.46%E -5.03%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV +1.03%E +0.466%K +0.848%G +0.009% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.55%E -2.01%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.15%E -1.00%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 14:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.15%E -1.00%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.15%E -1.00%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.15%E -1.00%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -10.09%E -6.12%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.15%E -1.00%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -10.09%E -6.12%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.15%E -1.00%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.52%E -1.66%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 12:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -3.97%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:03 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 14:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.46%E -5.03%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.46%E -5.03%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.10%E -2.33%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.34%E -2.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.34%E -2.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 14:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.10%E -2.33%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.25%E -3.03%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 21:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.70%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.70%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 10:31 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.70%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.70%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.70%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -0.830%E -0.456%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -8.07%E -3.99%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV +0.260%E +0.141%K +0.309%G +0.001% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.92%E -1.07%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.92%E -1.07%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.01%E -1.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.55%E -2.01%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 10:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -0.285%E -0.156%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -9.43%E -4.74%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.92%E -1.07%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.25%E -5.77%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.92%E -1.07%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.25%E -5.77%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 14:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.92%E -1.07%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.25%E -5.77%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61% | 2.5% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |