Lingua:Italiano
Martin Landaluce v Matteo Arnaldi
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Martin Landaluce (Casa)
Previsione 54.49%1.84quota equa
EV +0.260%
Vantaggio +0.141%
Kelly +0.309%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.84
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.00%54.45%54.69%57.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.731.731.8460.61%57.77%57.64%54.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Matteo Arnaldi (Trasferta)
Previsione 45.51%2.20quota equa
EV +2.40%
Vantaggio +1.07%
Kelly +1.92%
Crescita +0.046%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.89%45.55%45.31%48.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.092.102.2551.28%47.94%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Martin Landaluce (Casa): 54.49%; Matteo Arnaldi (Trasferta): 45.51%. Per Matteo Arnaldi (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.20. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.25, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.40%.
Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -7.91%E -4.68%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +2.40%E +1.07%K +1.92%G +0.046% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -7.91%E -4.68%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +2.40%E +1.07%K +1.92%G +0.046% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%EV +1.03%E +0.466%K +0.848%G +0.009% | 2.8% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -8.46%E -5.03%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV +1.03%E +0.466%K +0.848%G +0.009% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.55%E -2.01%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.15%E -1.00%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 14:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.15%E -1.00%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.15%E -1.00%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.15%E -1.00%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -10.09%E -6.12%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.15%E -1.00%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -10.09%E -6.12%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.15%E -1.00%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.52%E -1.66%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 12:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -3.97%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:03 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 14:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.46%E -5.03%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.46%E -5.03%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.10%E -2.33%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.34%E -2.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.34%E -2.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 14:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.10%E -2.33%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.25%E -3.03%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 21:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.70%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.70%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 10:31 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.70%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.70%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.70%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -0.830%E -0.456%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -8.07%E -3.99%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV +0.260%E +0.141%K +0.309%G +0.001% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.92%E -1.07%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.92%E -1.07%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.01%E -1.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.55%E -2.01%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 10:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -0.285%E -0.156%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -9.43%E -4.74%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.92%E -1.07%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.25%E -5.77%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.92%E -1.07%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.25%E -5.77%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 14:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.92%E -1.07%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.25%E -5.77%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61% | 2.5% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |