Langue:Français
Martin Landaluce v Matteo Arnaldi
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Martin Landaluce (Local)
Prévision 54.49%1.84cote équitable
EV +0.260%
Avantage +0.141%
Kelly +0.309%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 1.84
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.00%54.45%54.69%57.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.731.731.8460.61%57.77%57.64%54.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Matteo Arnaldi (Visiteur)
Prévision 45.51%2.20cote équitable
EV +2.40%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.92%
Croissance +0.046%
avec la cote maximale 2.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.89%45.55%45.31%48.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.092.102.2551.28%47.94%47.62%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Martin Landaluce (Local) : 54.49% ; Matteo Arnaldi (Visiteur) : 45.51%. Pour Matteo Arnaldi (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.20. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.25, soit une espérance positive de +2.40%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -7.91%E -4.68%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +2.40%E +1.07%K +1.92%G +0.046% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -7.91%E -4.68%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +2.40%E +1.07%K +1.92%G +0.046% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%EV +1.03%E +0.466%K +0.848%G +0.009% | 2.8% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -8.46%E -5.03%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV +1.03%E +0.466%K +0.848%G +0.009% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.55%E -2.01%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.15%E -1.00%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 14:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.15%E -1.00%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.15%E -1.00%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.15%E -1.00%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -10.09%E -6.12%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.15%E -1.00%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -10.09%E -6.12%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.15%E -1.00%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.52%E -1.66%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 12:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -3.97%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:03 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 14:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.46%E -5.03%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.46%E -5.03%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 14:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 12:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.10%E -2.33%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.34%E -2.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.34%E -2.57%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 14:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.10%E -2.33%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.25%E -3.03%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 21:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.70%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.70%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 10:31 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.70%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.70%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.70%E -3.27%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -0.830%E -0.456%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -8.07%E -3.99%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 14:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV +0.260%E +0.141%K +0.309%G +0.001% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.92%E -1.07%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.92%E -1.07%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.01%E -1.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.55%E -2.01%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 14:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 10:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.98%E -4.49%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -0.285%E -0.156%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -9.43%E -4.74%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.92%E -1.07%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.25%E -5.77%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.92%E -1.07%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.25%E -5.77%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 14:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.92%E -1.07%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.25%E -5.77%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61% | 2.5% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |