Language:English
Mark Lajal v Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mark Lajal (Local)
Prediction 51.19%1.95fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.625%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.22%51.07%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.841.831.9355.56%54.22%54.64%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit)
Prediction 48.81%2.05fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.694%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.78%48.93%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.941.952.0254.05%51.53%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mark Lajal (Local): 51.19%; Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visit): 48.81%. For Mark Lajal (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.93, with an expected value of -1.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -1.21%E -0.625%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -4.33%E -2.21%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-14 18:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.23%E -1.17%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-14 13:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -2.74%E -1.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-14 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -2.74%E -1.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -3.35%E -1.69%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 18:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -2.74%E -1.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -4.33%E -2.21%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-14 16:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -2.74%E -1.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -5.79%E -3.00%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.74%E -1.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.77%E -2.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.31%E -2.74%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 16:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.77%E -2.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.79%E -3.00%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 15:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.77%E -2.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.28%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -2.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 15:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.72%E -4.66%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 15:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.28%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 15:48 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 15:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 15:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.81%E -3.16%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.84%E -1.95%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 15:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.81%E -3.16%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.84%E -1.95%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 15:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.81%E -3.16%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.84%E -1.95%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 15:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.81%E -3.16%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.33%E -2.21%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.81%E -3.16%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.33%E -2.21%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.40%E -0.694%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:53 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 15:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 17:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.86%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 18:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.86%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 13:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.86%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.28%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.86%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.86%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.86%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 18:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.86%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 18:03 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 0.3% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 0.3% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 0.3% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62% | 1.3% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75% | 1.5% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |