Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Mark Lajal v Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Inizio: 2026-08-14 18:42 UTC

Finale: Mark Lajal 0–2 Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

58 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Mark Lajal (Casa)

Previsione 51.19%1.95quota equa
EV -1.21%
Vantaggio -0.625%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.93

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%51.22%51.07%52.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.841.831.9355.56%54.22%54.64%51.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.81%2.05quota equa
EV -1.40%
Vantaggio -0.694%
Kelly -1.37%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.37%48.78%48.93%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.851.941.952.0254.05%51.53%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Mark Lajal (Casa): 51.19%; Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Trasferta): 48.81%. Per Mark Lajal (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.95. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.93, con un valore atteso del -1.21%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -1.21%E -0.625%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -4.33%E -2.21%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-14 18:10
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.23%E -1.17%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-14 13:44
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -2.74%E -1.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-14 16:00
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -2.74%E -1.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -3.35%E -1.69%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-14 18:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -2.74%E -1.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -4.33%E -2.21%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 16:39
FanDuel🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -2.74%E -1.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -5.79%E -3.00%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 15:54
Betway🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.74%E -1.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 17:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.77%E -2.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.31%E -2.74%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 16:40
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.77%E -2.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.79%E -3.00%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 15:19
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.77%E -2.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.28%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 15:55
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -2.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 18:20
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 15:49
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.72%E -4.66%K -10.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 15:49
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 18:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 18:14
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 18:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.28%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 18:24
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 15:48
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 15:49
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 15:50
NordicBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.81%E -3.16%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.84%E -1.95%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.81%E -3.16%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.84%E -1.95%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 15:45
Betsson🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.81%E -3.16%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.84%E -1.95%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.81%E -3.16%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.33%E -2.21%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.81%E -3.16%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.33%E -2.21%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 12:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.40%E -0.694%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 18:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 18:35
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 12:54
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 12:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 12:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 12:54
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 12:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 12:54
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 12:54
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 12:54
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 12:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 12:54
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 15:45
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 12:53
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 12:54
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 15:50
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 15:49
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 18:35
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 18:00
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 17:54
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.86%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 18:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.86%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 13:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.86%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.28%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 12:54
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.86%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 15:54
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.86%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 15:54
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.86%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 18:04
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.86%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 18:03
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-08-14 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-08-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-08-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-08-14 18:35
ProphetX◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.3%2026-08-14 18:35
Novig◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-08-14 18:35