Idioma:Español
Mark Lajal v Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mark Lajal (Local)
Predicción 51.19%1.95momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.625%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.22%51.07%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.841.831.9355.56%54.22%54.64%51.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visitante)
Predicción 48.81%2.05momio equitativo
EV -1.40%
Ventaja -0.694%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%48.78%48.93%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.851.941.952.0254.05%51.53%51.28%49.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Mark Lajal (Local): 51.19%; Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visitante): 48.81%. Para Mark Lajal (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.95. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.93, con un valor esperado de -1.21%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -1.21%E -0.625%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -4.33%E -2.21%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-14 18:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.23%E -1.17%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-14 13:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -2.74%E -1.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-14 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -2.74%E -1.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -3.35%E -1.69%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 18:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -2.74%E -1.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -4.33%E -2.21%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-14 16:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -2.74%E -1.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -5.79%E -3.00%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.74%E -1.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.77%E -2.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.31%E -2.74%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 16:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.77%E -2.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.79%E -3.00%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 15:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.77%E -2.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.28%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -2.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.23%E -4.38%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 15:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.28%E -2.29%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.72%E -4.66%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 15:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.28%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 15:48 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 15:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.30%E -2.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 15:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.81%E -3.16%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.84%E -1.95%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 15:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.81%E -3.16%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.84%E -1.95%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 15:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.81%E -3.16%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.84%E -1.95%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 15:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.81%E -3.16%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.33%E -2.21%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.81%E -3.16%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.33%E -2.21%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 12:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.40%E -0.694%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:53 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 15:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.32%E -3.46%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 17:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.86%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 18:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.86%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 13:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.86%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.28%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.86%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.86%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.77%E -3.54%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.86%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 18:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.86%E -4.37%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 18:03 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 0.3% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 0.3% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 0.3% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62% | 1.3% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75% | 1.5% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |