语言:简体中文
Marco Trungelliti v Daniil Medvedev
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Marco Trungelliti (主队)
预测 17.53%5.70公平赔率
EV +6.08%
优势 +1.01%
Kelly +1.20%
增长率 +0.073%
假设最高赔率为 6.05
博彩公司预测分布
15.86%17.66%17.29%21.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.405.175.006.0522.73%19.34%20.00%16.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
Daniil Medvedev (客队)
预测 82.47%1.21公平赔率
EV -1.04%
优势 -0.868%
Kelly -5.21%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.20
博彩公司预测分布
78.85%82.34%82.71%84.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.121.161.161.2089.29%86.29%86.21%83.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Marco Trungelliti (主队)：17.53%；Daniil Medvedev (客队)：82.47%。 对于“Marco Trungelliti (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.70。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.05，对应+6.08%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +6.08%E +1.01%K +1.20%G +0.073% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +5.21%E +0.868%K +1.04%G +0.054% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -5.16%E -4.49%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +5.21%E +0.868%K +1.04%G +0.054% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 09:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +5.21%E +0.868%K +1.04%G +0.054% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +1.70%E +0.293%K +0.354%G +0.006% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.824%E +0.143%K +0.173%G +0.001% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.81%E -0.323%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.34%E -3.74%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.81%E -0.323%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.34%E -3.74%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.16%E -4.49%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 08:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 15:03 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 14:46 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.81%E -6.03%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.81%E -6.03%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.64%E -6.82%K -63.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.31%E -0.984%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.81%E -6.03%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.07%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.34%E -3.74%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -7.07%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.64%E -6.82%K -63.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -7.07%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.64%E -6.82%K -63.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.36%EV -7.24%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.64%EV -1.87%E -1.57%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.94%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 14:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.94%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.16%E -4.49%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 06:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.94%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.16%E -4.49%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 14:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.94%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 06:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.94%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 06:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -10.57%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 04:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.34%E -3.74%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 14:36 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.81%E -6.03%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -13.20%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.28%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -14.96%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -15.83%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -15.83%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 06:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -15.83%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 06:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -16.71%E -3.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.16%E -4.49%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -16.71%E -3.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -17.24%E -3.65%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -1.04%E -0.868%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -17.59%E -3.74%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -4.34%E -3.74%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -21.09%E -4.69%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -22.85%E -5.19%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Novig◎ | 6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.79% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.21% | 1.8% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |