Język:Polski
Marco Trungelliti v Daniil Medvedev
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Marco Trungelliti (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 17.53%5.70kurs godziwy
EV +6.08%
Przewaga +1.01%
Kelly +1.20%
Wzrost +0.073%
przy maksymalnym kursie 6.05
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.86%17.66%17.29%21.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.405.175.006.0522.73%19.34%20.00%16.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Daniil Medvedev (Goście)
Prognoza 82.47%1.21kurs godziwy
EV -1.04%
Przewaga -0.868%
Kelly -5.21%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.20
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
78.85%82.34%82.71%84.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.121.161.161.2089.29%86.29%86.21%83.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Marco Trungelliti (Gospodarze): 17.53%; Daniil Medvedev (Goście): 82.47%. Dla wyniku Marco Trungelliti (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.70. 6 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 6.05, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +6.08%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +6.08%E +1.01%K +1.20%G +0.073% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +5.21%E +0.868%K +1.04%G +0.054% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -5.16%E -4.49%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +5.21%E +0.868%K +1.04%G +0.054% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 09:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +5.21%E +0.868%K +1.04%G +0.054% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +1.70%E +0.293%K +0.354%G +0.006% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.824%E +0.143%K +0.173%G +0.001% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.81%E -0.323%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.34%E -3.74%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.81%E -0.323%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.34%E -3.74%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.16%E -4.49%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 08:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 15:03 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 14:46 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.81%E -6.03%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.81%E -6.03%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.64%E -6.82%K -63.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.31%E -0.984%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.81%E -6.03%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.07%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.34%E -3.74%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -7.07%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.64%E -6.82%K -63.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -7.07%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.64%E -6.82%K -63.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.36%EV -7.24%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.64%EV -1.87%E -1.57%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.94%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 14:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.94%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.16%E -4.49%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 06:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.94%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.16%E -4.49%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 14:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.94%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 06:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.94%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 06:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -10.57%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 04:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.34%E -3.74%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 14:36 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.81%E -6.03%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -13.20%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.28%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -14.96%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -15.83%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -15.83%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 06:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -15.83%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 06:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -16.71%E -3.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.16%E -4.49%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -16.71%E -3.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -17.24%E -3.65%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -1.04%E -0.868%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -17.59%E -3.74%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -4.34%E -3.74%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -21.09%E -4.69%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -22.85%E -5.19%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Novig◎ | 6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.79% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.21% | 1.8% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |