Sprache:Deutsch
Marco Trungelliti v Daniil Medvedev
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Marco Trungelliti (Heim)
Prognose 17.53%5.70faire Quote
EV +6.08%
Vorteil +1.01%
Kelly +1.20%
Wachstum +0.073%
bei einer Höchstquote von 6.05
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.86%17.66%17.29%21.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.405.175.006.0522.73%19.34%20.00%16.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Daniil Medvedev (Auswärts)
Prognose 82.47%1.21faire Quote
EV -1.04%
Vorteil -0.868%
Kelly -5.21%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.20
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
78.85%82.34%82.71%84.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.121.161.161.2089.29%86.29%86.21%83.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Marco Trungelliti (Heim): 17.53%; Daniil Medvedev (Auswärts): 82.47%. Für Marco Trungelliti (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.70. 6 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.05 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +6.08%.
Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +6.08%E +1.01%K +1.20%G +0.073% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +5.21%E +0.868%K +1.04%G +0.054% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -5.16%E -4.49%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +5.21%E +0.868%K +1.04%G +0.054% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 09:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +5.21%E +0.868%K +1.04%G +0.054% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +1.70%E +0.293%K +0.354%G +0.006% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.824%E +0.143%K +0.173%G +0.001% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.81%E -0.323%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.34%E -3.74%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.81%E -0.323%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.34%E -3.74%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.16%E -4.49%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 08:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 15:03 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 14:46 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.81%E -6.03%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.81%E -6.03%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.56%E -0.647%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.64%E -6.82%K -63.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.31%E -0.984%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.81%E -6.03%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -7.07%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.34%E -3.74%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -7.07%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.64%E -6.82%K -63.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -7.07%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.64%E -6.82%K -63.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.36%EV -7.24%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.64%EV -1.87%E -1.57%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.94%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 14:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.94%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.16%E -4.49%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 06:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.94%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.16%E -4.49%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 14:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.94%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 06:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.94%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 06:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -10.57%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 04:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 04:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.34%E -3.74%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 14:36 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.33%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.81%E -6.03%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -13.20%E -2.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.28%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -14.08%E -2.87%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -14.96%E -3.08%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -15.83%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -15.83%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 06:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -15.83%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 06:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -16.71%E -3.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -5.16%E -4.49%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -16.71%E -3.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -5.99%E -5.25%K -42.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%EV -17.24%E -3.65%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%EV -1.04%E -0.868%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -17.59%E -3.74%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -4.34%E -3.74%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -21.09%E -4.69%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -3.52%E -3.00%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -22.85%E -5.19%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -2.69%E -2.28%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Novig◎ | 6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.79% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.21% | 1.8% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.43% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.57% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 15:05 |