Language:English
Learner Tien v Frances Tiafoe
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Learner Tien (Local)
Prediction 53.39%1.87fair odd
EV -0.152%
Edge -0.081%
Kelly -0.175%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.32%53.53%53.32%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.771.781.8759.88%56.57%56.18%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Frances Tiafoe (Visit)
Prediction 46.61%2.15fair odd
EV -0.264%
Edge -0.123%
Kelly -0.232%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%46.47%46.68%48.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.032.042.1452.36%49.26%49.02%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Learner Tien (Local): 53.39%; Frances Tiafoe (Visit): 46.61%. For Learner Tien (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.873. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.870, with an expected value of -0.152%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.152%E -0.081%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-18 14:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.22%E -0.660%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.82%E -1.55%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -2.82%E -1.55%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.82%E -1.55%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 00:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-19 00:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-18 15:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-18 17:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.39%E -2.66%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 00:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 23:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 00:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 04:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 00:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 12:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 17:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.39%E -2.66%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-18 23:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-18 23:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 22:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-19 00:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 09:42 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 23:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.72%E -3.90%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 23:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-18 20:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -7.09%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -3.53%E -1.70%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.09%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 04:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.09%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.09%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -7.09%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -10.98%E -5.75%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.264%E -0.123%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-19 00:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-19 00:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 00:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 00:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.16%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 00:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -8.16%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.23%E -5.43%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 04:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.83%E -6.49%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-19 00:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.83%E -6.49%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-19 00:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.65% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.35% | 1.3% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31% | 2.3% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 2.6% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |