StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Learner Tien v Frances Tiafoe

Matchstart: 2026-08-19 01:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Learner Tien 1–2 Frances Tiafoe

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Learner Tien (Hemma)

Prognos 53.39%1.87rättvist odds
EV -0.152%
Fördel -0.081%
Kelly -0.175%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.87

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
51.32%53.53%53.32%55.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.671.771.781.8759.88%56.57%56.18%53.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Frances Tiafoe (Borta)

Prognos 46.61%2.15rättvist odds
EV -0.264%
Fördel -0.123%
Kelly -0.232%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.14

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.30%46.47%46.68%48.68%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.912.032.042.1452.36%49.26%49.02%46.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Learner Tien (Hemma): 53.39%; Frances Tiafoe (Borta): 46.61%. För Learner Tien (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.873. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 1.870, med väntevärdet -0.152%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.152%E -0.081%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 14:40
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.22%E -0.660%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 00:15
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-18 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.82%E -1.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -2.82%E -1.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-19 00:15
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.82%E -1.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 00:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 00:09
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 15:10
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.39%E -2.66%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 00:15
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 00:10
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:15
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 00:10
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 04:35
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 00:09
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 12:15
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 17:59
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.39%E -2.66%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 00:15
PlayUp🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 00:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 23:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 23:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-18 22:50
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 00:05
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-18 09:42
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-18 23:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.72%E -3.90%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 23:45
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-18 20:50
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -7.09%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -3.53%E -1.70%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 00:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.09%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 04:30
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.09%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 16:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.09%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 13:25
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -7.09%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -10.98%E -5.75%K -12.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-19 00:15
FanDuel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.264%E -0.123%K -0.232%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 00:10
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 00:05
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 00:15
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 00:15
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 00:05
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 00:05
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 00:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 00:15
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.16%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 00:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -8.16%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-19 00:15
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.23%E -5.43%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 04:29
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.83%E -6.49%K -16.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 00:05
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.83%E -6.49%K -16.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 00:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-08-19 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-08-19 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-08-19 00:15
Matchbook◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-08-19 00:15
ProphetX◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.65%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.35%1.3%2026-08-19 00:15
Novig◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%2.3%2026-08-19 00:15
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%2.6%2026-08-19 00:15