Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Learner Tien v Frances Tiafoe

Início: 2026-08-19 01:00 UTC

Final: Learner Tien 1–2 Frances Tiafoe

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Learner Tien (Local)

Previsão 53.39%1.87odd justa
EV -0.152%
Vantagem -0.081%
Kelly -0.175%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.32%53.53%53.32%55.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.771.781.8759.88%56.57%56.18%53.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Frances Tiafoe (Visitante)

Previsão 46.61%2.15odd justa
EV -0.264%
Vantagem -0.123%
Kelly -0.232%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.30%46.47%46.68%48.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.032.042.1452.36%49.26%49.02%46.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Learner Tien (Local): 53.39%; Frances Tiafoe (Visitante): 46.61%. Para Learner Tien (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.873. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.870, com valor esperado de -0.152%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.152%E -0.081%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 14:40
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.22%E -0.660%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 00:15
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-18 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.82%E -1.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -2.82%E -1.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-19 00:15
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.82%E -1.55%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 00:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 00:09
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 15:10
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.39%E -2.66%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 00:15
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 00:10
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 23:15
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 00:10
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 04:35
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 00:09
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 12:15
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-18 17:59
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 13:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.39%E -2.66%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 00:15
PlayUp🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 00:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 23:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 23:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-18 22:50
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 00:05
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-18 09:42
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-18 23:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.72%E -3.90%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 23:45
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-18 20:50
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -7.09%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -3.53%E -1.70%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 00:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.09%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 04:30
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.09%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 16:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.09%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 13:25
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -7.09%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -10.98%E -5.75%K -12.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-19 00:15
FanDuel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.264%E -0.123%K -0.232%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 00:10
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 00:05
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 00:15
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 00:15
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 00:05
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 00:05
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 00:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 00:15
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.16%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 00:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -8.16%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-19 00:15
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -9.23%E -5.43%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 04:29
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.83%E -6.49%K -16.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 00:05
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.83%E -6.49%K -16.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 00:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-08-19 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-08-19 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-08-19 00:15
Matchbook◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-08-19 00:15
ProphetX◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.65%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.35%1.3%2026-08-19 00:15
Novig◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%2.3%2026-08-19 00:15
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%2.6%2026-08-19 00:15