语言:简体中文
Juncheng Shang v Lorenzo Sonego
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Juncheng Shang (主队)
预测 58.98%1.70公平赔率
EV -0.913%
优势 -0.544%
Kelly -1.34%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.68
博彩公司预测分布
56.58%58.85%59.16%60.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.521.611.601.6865.79%62.02%62.50%59.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
Lorenzo Sonego (客队)
预测 41.02%2.44公平赔率
EV -0.732%
优势 -0.303%
Kelly -0.516%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.42
博彩公司预测分布
39.28%41.15%40.84%43.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.312.332.4246.51%43.38%42.92%41.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Juncheng Shang (主队)：58.98%；Lorenzo Sonego (客队)：41.02%。 对于“Lorenzo Sonego (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.44。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.42，期望值为-0.732%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -0.913%E -0.544%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -5.24%E -2.27%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-14 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -0.913%E -0.544%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -6.89%E -3.03%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-14 16:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -0.913%E -0.544%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -6.89%E -3.03%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-14 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -0.913%E -0.544%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -8.94%E -4.03%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 13:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -2.09%E -1.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -7.30%E -3.23%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 10:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.68%E -1.63%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.37%E -0.997%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-12 21:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.68%E -1.63%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 15:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.68%E -1.63%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 17:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.68%E -1.63%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 15:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.68%E -1.63%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 16:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.68%E -1.63%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 16:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.68%E -1.63%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 16:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.68%E -1.63%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.81%E -5.49%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -3.27%E -2.00%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -0.732%E -0.303%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-14 17:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.27%E -2.00%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-14 10:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.27%E -2.00%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.27%E -2.00%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.27%E -2.00%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 15:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 10:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 10:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 12:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 11:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 15:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 10:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 10:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.04%E -3.13%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 10:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.04%E -3.13%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 20:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 10:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 10:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 10:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 20:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 20:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 20:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 20:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 20:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 20:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 20:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 20:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 20:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 20:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 20:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 20:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 20:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 20:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.22%E -3.91%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 17:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.22%E -3.91%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 14:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.22%E -3.91%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 10:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.37%E -0.997%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.37%E -0.997%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.37%E -0.997%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.37%E -0.997%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 05:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.37%E -0.997%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 17:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 10:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 10:43 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.99%E -5.12%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.47%E -2.84%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -10.35%E -6.81%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 06:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 17:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-08-14 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-08-14 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-08-14 17:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.2% | 2026-08-14 17:55 |