StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Juncheng Shang v Lorenzo Sonego

Matchstart: 2026-08-14 18:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Juncheng Shang 0–2 Lorenzo Sonego

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Juncheng Shang (Hemma)

Prognos 58.98%1.70rättvist odds
EV -0.913%
Fördel -0.544%
Kelly -1.34%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.68

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
56.58%58.85%59.16%60.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.521.611.601.6865.79%62.02%62.50%59.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Lorenzo Sonego (Borta)

Prognos 41.02%2.44rättvist odds
EV -0.732%
Fördel -0.303%
Kelly -0.516%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.42

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.28%41.15%40.84%43.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.152.312.332.4246.51%43.38%42.92%41.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Juncheng Shang (Hemma): 58.98%; Lorenzo Sonego (Borta): 41.02%. För Lorenzo Sonego (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.44. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.42, med väntevärdet -0.732%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -0.913%E -0.544%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -5.24%E -2.27%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-14 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -0.913%E -0.544%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -6.89%E -3.03%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-14 16:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -0.913%E -0.544%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -6.89%E -3.03%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-14 16:49
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -0.913%E -0.544%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -8.94%E -4.03%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 13:59
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -2.09%E -1.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -7.30%E -3.23%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 10:59
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.68%E -1.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.37%E -0.997%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-12 21:35
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.68%E -1.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 15:49
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.68%E -1.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 17:58
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.68%E -1.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 15:48
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.68%E -1.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 16:00
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.68%E -1.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 16:50
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.68%E -1.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 16:55
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.68%E -1.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.81%E -5.49%K -10.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 16:40
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -3.27%E -2.00%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -0.732%E -0.303%K -0.516%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-14 17:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.27%E -2.00%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-14 10:54
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.27%E -2.00%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.27%E -2.00%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 15:54
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.27%E -2.00%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 15:50
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 10:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 10:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 12:58
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:00
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 15:55
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 10:55
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 10:55
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.04%E -3.13%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 10:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.04%E -3.13%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 20:20
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 10:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 10:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 10:59
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:20
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:20
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:19
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:19
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:19
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:19
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:19
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 17:30
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 15:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.22%E -3.91%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 17:45
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.22%E -3.91%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 14:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.22%E -3.91%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 10:59
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.37%E -0.997%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 17:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.37%E -0.997%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.37%E -0.997%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.37%E -0.997%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 05:45
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.37%E -0.997%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 17:25
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 17:30
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 10:43
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 10:43
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.99%E -5.12%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.47%E -2.84%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 13:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -10.35%E -6.81%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 06:09
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-08-14 17:55
Novig◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%0.7%2026-08-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-08-14 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-08-14 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-08-14 17:55
ProphetX◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-08-14 17:55