Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Juncheng Shang v Lorenzo Sonego

Inizio: 2026-08-14 18:00 UTC

Finale: Juncheng Shang 0–2 Lorenzo Sonego

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Juncheng Shang (Casa)

Previsione 58.98%1.70quota equa
EV -0.913%
Vantaggio -0.544%
Kelly -1.34%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.58%58.85%59.16%60.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.611.601.6865.79%62.02%62.50%59.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Lorenzo Sonego (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.02%2.44quota equa
EV -0.732%
Vantaggio -0.303%
Kelly -0.516%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.28%41.15%40.84%43.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.312.332.4246.51%43.38%42.92%41.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Juncheng Shang (Casa): 58.98%; Lorenzo Sonego (Trasferta): 41.02%. Per Lorenzo Sonego (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.44. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.42, con un valore atteso del -0.732%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -0.913%E -0.544%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -5.24%E -2.27%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-14 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -0.913%E -0.544%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -6.89%E -3.03%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-14 16:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -0.913%E -0.544%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -6.89%E -3.03%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-14 16:49
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -0.913%E -0.544%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -8.94%E -4.03%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 13:59
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -2.09%E -1.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -7.30%E -3.23%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 10:59
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.68%E -1.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.37%E -0.997%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-12 21:35
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.68%E -1.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 15:49
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.68%E -1.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 17:58
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.68%E -1.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 15:48
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.68%E -1.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 16:00
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.68%E -1.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 16:50
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.68%E -1.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 16:55
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.68%E -1.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.81%E -5.49%K -10.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 16:40
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -3.27%E -2.00%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -0.732%E -0.303%K -0.516%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-14 17:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.27%E -2.00%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-14 10:54
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.27%E -2.00%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.27%E -2.00%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 15:54
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.27%E -2.00%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 15:50
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 10:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 10:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 12:58
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:00
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 15:55
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 10:55
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 10:55
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.04%E -3.13%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 10:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.04%E -3.13%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 20:20
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 10:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 10:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 10:59
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:20
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:20
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:19
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:19
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:19
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:19
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:19
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.42%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 20:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 17:30
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 15:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.76%E -4.43%K -8.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.22%E -3.91%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 17:45
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.22%E -3.91%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 14:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.22%E -3.91%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.65%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 10:59
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.37%E -0.997%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 17:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.37%E -0.997%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.37%E -0.997%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.37%E -0.997%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 05:45
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.37%E -0.997%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 17:25
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 17:30
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 10:43
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.71%E -3.42%K -6.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 10:43
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.99%E -5.12%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.47%E -2.84%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 13:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -10.35%E -6.81%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -3.60%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 06:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-08-14 17:55
Novig◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%0.7%2026-08-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-08-14 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-08-14 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-08-14 17:55
ProphetX◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-08-14 17:55