Language:English
Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Felix Auger-Aliassime
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local)
Prediction 19.89%5.03fair odd
EV +2.83%
Edge +0.547%
Kelly +0.678%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 5.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.79%19.99%19.82%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.644.505.1723.81%21.55%22.22%19.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visit)
Prediction 80.11%1.25fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -10.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.78%80.01%80.18%81.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.191.191.2287.72%84.11%84.03%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local): 19.89%; Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visit): 80.11%. For Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.03. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.84%EV +2.83%E +0.547%K +0.678%G +0.019% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.16%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.84%EV +2.83%E +0.547%K +0.678%G +0.019% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.16%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +1.44%E +0.282%K +0.350%G +0.005% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +1.44%E +0.282%K +0.350%G +0.005% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +1.44%E +0.282%K +0.350%G +0.005% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.553%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-18 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.553%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.553%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.553%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 15:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.553%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.27%E -5.36%K -36.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.553%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.27%E -5.36%K -36.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.553%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.27%E -5.36%K -36.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.87%EV -2.14%E -0.436%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.13%EV -2.27%E -1.86%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-18 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.54%E -0.519%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.54%E -0.519%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.54%E -0.519%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -2.54%E -0.519%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.67%E -7.61%K -61.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.53%E -0.944%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.53%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.53%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.53%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.52%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -7.51%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -7.51%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.27%E -5.36%K -36.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 15:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.51%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 21:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.27%E -1.86%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-18 23:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 08:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 08:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 08:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 08:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 10:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 21:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 21:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.27%E -5.36%K -36.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.27%E -5.36%K -36.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-18 08:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.27%E -5.36%K -36.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-18 08:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.49%E -2.84%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.49%E -2.84%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.49%E -2.84%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 10:02 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.49%E -2.84%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -7.07%E -6.10%K -44.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -13.48%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 07:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -13.88%E -3.21%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 12:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -15.47%E -3.64%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -6.27%E -5.36%K -36.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 23:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.46%E -3.92%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.46%E -3.92%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 21:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 5.41I 18.48%NM 18.15% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.85% | 1.8% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12% | 1.9% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |