Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Felix Auger-Aliassime

Inizio: 2026-08-18 23:07 UTC

Finale: Juan Manuel Cerundolo 0–2 Felix Auger-Aliassime

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

62 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Casa)

Previsione 19.89%5.03quota equa
EV +2.83%
Vantaggio +0.547%
Kelly +0.678%
Crescita +0.019%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.79%19.99%19.82%22.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.644.505.1723.81%21.55%22.22%19.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Trasferta)

Previsione 80.11%1.25quota equa
EV -2.27%
Vantaggio -1.86%
Kelly -10.30%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.22

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
77.78%80.01%80.18%81.21%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.141.191.191.2287.72%84.11%84.03%81.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Casa): 19.89%; Felix Auger-Aliassime (Trasferta): 80.11%. Per Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.03. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.17, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.83%.

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯5.17I 19.34%NM 18.84%EV +2.83%E +0.547%K +0.678%G +0.019%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.16%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-18 22:59
Pinnacle🎯5.17I 19.34%NM 18.84%EV +2.83%E +0.547%K +0.678%G +0.019%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.16%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-18 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +1.44%E +0.282%K +0.350%G +0.005%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-18 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +1.44%E +0.282%K +0.350%G +0.005%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-18 22:55
DraftKings🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +1.44%E +0.282%K +0.350%G +0.005%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-18 23:00
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.553%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-18 21:50
LowVig.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.553%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.553%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 22:55
FanDuel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.553%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 15:25
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.553%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.27%E -5.36%K -36.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 21:45
BetAnything🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.553%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.27%E -5.36%K -36.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 23:05
BetUS🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.553%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.27%E -5.36%K -36.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 21:55
GTbets🎯4.92I 20.33%NM 19.87%EV -2.14%E -0.436%K -0.547%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.13%EV -2.27%E -1.86%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.54%E -0.519%K -0.652%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-18 22:55
Winamax (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.54%E -0.519%K -0.652%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-18 23:00
ReBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.54%E -0.519%K -0.652%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -2.54%E -0.519%K -0.652%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.67%E -7.61%K -61.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-18 21:45
Fanatics🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.53%E -0.944%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 22:50
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.53%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 22:50
NordicBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.53%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 23:00
Betsson🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.53%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.52%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 22:55
theScore Bet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -7.51%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 21:45
SportsBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -7.51%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.27%E -5.36%K -36.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 15:25
BetMGM🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.51%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 21:15
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.27%E -1.86%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-18 23:04
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 14:55
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 14:54
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 08:40
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 14:54
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 08:15
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 14:54
Grosvenor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 14:54
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 14:54
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 14:54
Bally Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 08:14
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 08:15
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 14:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 18:20
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 10:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 21:10
Coral🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 21:15
betano_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.27%E -5.36%K -36.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-18 23:05
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.27%E -5.36%K -36.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-18 08:19
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.27%E -5.36%K -36.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-18 08:19
PlayUp🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.49%E -2.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 21:05
LeoVegas🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.49%E -2.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 23:00
Caesars🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.49%E -2.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 10:02
Fliff🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.49%E -2.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -7.07%E -6.10%K -44.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-18 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -13.48%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 07:54
Bet Victor🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -13.88%E -3.21%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 12:25
Betclic (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -15.47%E -3.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -6.27%E -5.36%K -36.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-18 23:04
Neds🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.46%E -3.92%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.46%E -3.92%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 21:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-08-18 23:00
Smarkets◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-08-18 23:05
Matchbook◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-08-18 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-08-18 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%0.8%2026-08-18 23:00
Novig◎5.41I 18.48%NM 18.15%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.85%1.8%2026-08-18 23:05
ProphetX◎5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12%1.9%2026-08-18 23:05