Langue:Français
Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Felix Auger-Aliassime
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local)
Prévision 19.89%5.03cote équitable
EV +2.83%
Avantage +0.547%
Kelly +0.678%
Croissance +0.019%
avec la cote maximale 5.17
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.79%19.99%19.82%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.644.505.1723.81%21.55%22.22%19.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visiteur)
Prévision 80.11%1.25cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -1.86%
Kelly -10.30%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.22
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.78%80.01%80.18%81.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.141.191.191.2287.72%84.11%84.03%81.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local) : 19.89% ; Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visiteur) : 80.11%. Pour Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.03. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.17, soit une espérance positive de +2.83%.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.84%EV +2.83%E +0.547%K +0.678%G +0.019% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.16%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.84%EV +2.83%E +0.547%K +0.678%G +0.019% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.16%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +1.44%E +0.282%K +0.350%G +0.005% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +1.44%E +0.282%K +0.350%G +0.005% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +1.44%E +0.282%K +0.350%G +0.005% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -0.553%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-18 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.553%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.553%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.553%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 15:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.553%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.27%E -5.36%K -36.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.553%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.27%E -5.36%K -36.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.553%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.27%E -5.36%K -36.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 21:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.87%EV -2.14%E -0.436%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.13%EV -2.27%E -1.86%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-18 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.54%E -0.519%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.54%E -0.519%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.54%E -0.519%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -2.54%E -0.519%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.67%E -7.61%K -61.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.53%E -0.944%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.53%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.53%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.53%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.52%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-18 22:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -7.51%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -7.51%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.27%E -5.36%K -36.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 15:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.51%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 21:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.27%E -1.86%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-18 23:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 08:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 08:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 08:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 08:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 10:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 21:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 21:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.27%E -5.36%K -36.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.27%E -5.36%K -36.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-18 08:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.50%E -2.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.27%E -5.36%K -36.89%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-18 08:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.49%E -2.84%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 21:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.49%E -2.84%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.49%E -2.84%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 10:02 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.49%E -2.84%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -7.07%E -6.10%K -44.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -13.48%E -3.10%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.67%E -3.92%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 07:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -13.88%E -3.21%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.47%E -4.64%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 12:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -15.47%E -3.64%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -6.27%E -5.36%K -36.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 23:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.46%E -3.92%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.46%E -3.92%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.87%E -3.22%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 21:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 5.41I 18.48%NM 18.15% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.85% | 1.8% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12% | 1.9% | 2026-08-18 23:05 |