Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Joao Fonseca v Botic van de Zandschulp

Início: 2026-08-16 16:30 UTC

Final: Joao Fonseca 2–0 Botic van de Zandschulp

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Joao Fonseca (Local)

Previsão 69.45%1.44odd justa
EV -2.76%
Vantagem -1.97%
Kelly -6.91%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.67%69.37%69.51%71.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.371.371.4076.92%72.79%72.99%71.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante)

Previsão 30.55%3.27odd justa
EV +0.801%
Vantagem +0.243%
Kelly +0.348%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.73%30.63%30.49%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.033.003.3035.71%33.02%33.33%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Joao Fonseca (Local): 69.45%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante): 30.55%. Para Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.27. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.801%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.801%E +0.243%K +0.348%G +0.003%5.5%2026-08-16 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 16:29
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 16:25
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -6.93%E -5.17%K -20.39%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -1.64%E -0.510%K -0.740%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 16:25
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.78%EV -3.46%E -2.49%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.22%EV -1.95%E -0.607%K -0.881%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 15:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.25%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 16:29
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.25%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 16:29
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.25%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 15:34
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.56%E -0.802%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.60%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.40%EV -3.48%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.60%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.40%EV -3.48%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 15:35
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -3.78%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 15:25
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.78%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 15:39
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.78%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:29
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.71%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.29%EV -4.39%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 08:54
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.82%EV -4.39%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 15:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 15:34
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 15:35
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:24
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 15:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.32%E -6.30%K -26.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 15:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.25%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.37%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.75%EV -6.22%E -2.03%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 16:29
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:19
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -7.14%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 16:14
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 16:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 08:50
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 15:20
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 15:25
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 15:25
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 15:34
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 15:35
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:40
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:40
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:40
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:40
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:40
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:40
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:38
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:39
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 16:24
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 16:24
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 08:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 08:45
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 08:50
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 15:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 15:25
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 16:22
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 16:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -12.03%E -4.18%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:39
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.47%E -5.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-08-16 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-08-16 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-08-16 16:25
Matchbook◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%0.3%2026-08-16 16:25
ProphetX◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-08-16 16:10
Novig◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.92%3.39I 29.50%NM 29.08%1.4%2026-08-16 16:25
Smarkets◎1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-08-16 16:25