StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Joao Fonseca v Botic van de Zandschulp

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-16 16:30 UTC

Endstand: Joao Fonseca 2–0 Botic van de Zandschulp

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Joao Fonseca (Heim)

Prognose 69.45%1.44faire Quote
EV -2.76%
Vorteil -1.97%
Kelly -6.91%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
66.67%69.37%69.51%71.27%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.301.371.371.4076.92%72.79%72.99%71.43%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Botic van de Zandschulp (Auswärts)

Prognose 30.55%3.27faire Quote
EV +0.801%
Vorteil +0.243%
Kelly +0.348%
Wachstum +0.003%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.73%30.63%30.49%33.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.803.033.003.3035.71%33.02%33.33%30.30%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Joao Fonseca (Heim): 69.45%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Auswärts): 30.55%. Für Botic van de Zandschulp (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.27. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.30 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.801%.

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.801%E +0.243%K +0.348%G +0.003%5.5%2026-08-16 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 16:29
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 16:25
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -6.93%E -5.17%K -20.39%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -1.64%E -0.510%K -0.740%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 16:25
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.78%EV -3.46%E -2.49%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.22%EV -1.95%E -0.607%K -0.881%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 15:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.25%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 16:29
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.25%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 16:29
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.25%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 15:34
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.56%E -0.802%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.60%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.40%EV -3.48%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.60%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.40%EV -3.48%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 15:35
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -3.78%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 15:25
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.78%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 15:39
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.78%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:29
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.71%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.29%EV -4.39%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 08:54
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.82%EV -4.39%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 15:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 15:34
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 15:35
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:24
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 15:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.32%E -6.30%K -26.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 15:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.25%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.37%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.75%EV -6.22%E -2.03%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 16:29
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:19
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -7.14%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 16:14
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 16:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 08:50
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 15:20
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 15:25
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 15:25
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 15:34
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 15:35
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:40
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:40
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:40
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:40
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:40
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:40
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:38
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 12:39
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 16:24
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 16:24
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 08:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 08:45
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 08:50
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 15:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 15:25
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 16:22
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 16:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -12.03%E -4.18%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 12:39
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.47%E -5.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:29
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-08-16 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-08-16 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-08-16 16:25
Matchbook◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%0.3%2026-08-16 16:25
ProphetX◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-08-16 16:10
Novig◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.92%3.39I 29.50%NM 29.08%1.4%2026-08-16 16:25
Smarkets◎1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-08-16 16:25