Idioma:Español
Joao Fonseca v Botic van de Zandschulp
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Joao Fonseca (Local)
Predicción 69.45%1.44momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -1.97%
Kelly -6.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.67%69.37%69.51%71.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.371.371.4076.92%72.79%72.99%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante)
Predicción 30.55%3.27momio equitativo
EV +0.801%
Ventaja +0.243%
Kelly +0.348%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.73%30.63%30.49%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.033.003.3035.71%33.02%33.33%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Joao Fonseca (Local): 69.45%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante): 30.55%. Para Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.27. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.801%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.801%E +0.243%K +0.348%G +0.003% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.726%E -0.223%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -6.93%E -5.17%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -1.64%E -0.510%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.78%EV -3.46%E -2.49%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.22%EV -1.95%E -0.607%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.25%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.25%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.25%E -0.704%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 15:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.56%E -0.802%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.60%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.40%EV -3.48%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.60%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.40%EV -3.48%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -3.78%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.78%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 15:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.78%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.71%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.29%EV -4.39%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 08:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.82%EV -4.39%E -1.40%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 15:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 15:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.32%E -6.30%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.31%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 15:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.25%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.37%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.75%EV -6.22%E -2.03%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.84%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -7.14%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.85%E -3.54%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 08:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 15:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 15:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.63%E -5.73%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 12:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -9.89%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 08:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 08:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 08:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 08:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 16:22 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.54%E -4.08%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.42%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -4.15%E -3.01%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -12.03%E -4.18%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 12:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.76%E -1.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.47%E -5.17%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 16:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.92% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 29.08% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |