Language:English
Jan-Lennard Struff v Alejandro Tabilo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jan-Lennard Struff (Local)
Prediction 38.26%2.61fair odd
EV +5.21%
Edge +1.89%
Kelly +2.98%
Growth +0.155%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.37%38.08%38.27%40.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.462.452.7542.55%40.73%40.82%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alejandro Tabilo (Visit)
Prediction 61.74%1.62fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.758%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.95%61.92%61.73%65.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.541.551.6069.44%64.75%64.52%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jan-Lennard Struff (Local): 38.26%; Alejandro Tabilo (Visit): 61.74%. For Jan-Lennard Struff (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +5.21%E +1.89%K +2.98%G +0.155% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -11.09%E -7.70%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 12:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV +0.236%E +0.090%K +0.146%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -7.39%E -4.92%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 06:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.44%E -0.958%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.82%E -1.11%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.82%E -1.11%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.21%E -1.27%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -3.21%E -1.27%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.59%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.45%E -1.55%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -3.97%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -1.83%E -1.15%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 19:13 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 17:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 11:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 17:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.39%E -4.92%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.39%E -4.92%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.39%E -4.92%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.24%E -6.29%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -4.74%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -1.21%E -0.758%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.12%E -2.06%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.15%E -4.05%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.77%E -4.48%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -6.65%E -2.73%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 18:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -7.42%E -3.06%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -6.15%E -4.05%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 11:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.15%E -4.05%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 18:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -9.33%E -3.94%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -9.33%E -3.94%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.09%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.09%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.09%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84% | 2.4% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |