Langue:Français
Jan-Lennard Struff v Alejandro Tabilo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jan-Lennard Struff (Local)
Prévision 38.26%2.61cote équitable
EV +5.21%
Avantage +1.89%
Kelly +2.98%
Croissance +0.155%
avec la cote maximale 2.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.37%38.08%38.27%40.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.462.452.7542.55%40.73%40.82%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur)
Prévision 61.74%1.62cote équitable
EV -1.21%
Avantage -0.758%
Kelly -2.02%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.95%61.92%61.73%65.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.541.551.6069.44%64.75%64.52%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jan-Lennard Struff (Local) : 38.26% ; Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur) : 61.74%. Pour Jan-Lennard Struff (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.61. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.75, soit une espérance positive de +5.21%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +5.21%E +1.89%K +2.98%G +0.155% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -11.09%E -7.70%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 12:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV +0.236%E +0.090%K +0.146%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -7.39%E -4.92%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 06:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.44%E -0.958%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.82%E -1.11%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.82%E -1.11%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.21%E -1.27%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -3.21%E -1.27%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.59%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.45%E -1.55%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -3.97%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -1.83%E -1.15%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 19:13 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 17:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 11:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 17:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.39%E -4.92%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.39%E -4.92%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.39%E -4.92%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.24%E -6.29%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -4.74%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -1.21%E -0.758%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.12%E -2.06%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.15%E -4.05%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.77%E -4.48%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -6.65%E -2.73%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 18:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -7.42%E -3.06%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -6.15%E -4.05%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 11:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.15%E -4.05%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 18:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -9.33%E -3.94%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -9.33%E -3.94%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.09%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.09%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.09%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84% | 2.4% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |