Język:Polski
Jan-Lennard Struff v Alejandro Tabilo
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Jan-Lennard Struff (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 38.26%2.61kurs godziwy
EV +5.21%
Przewaga +1.89%
Kelly +2.98%
Wzrost +0.155%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.75
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.37%38.08%38.27%40.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.352.462.452.7542.55%40.73%40.82%36.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Alejandro Tabilo (Goście)
Prognoza 61.74%1.62kurs godziwy
EV -1.21%
Przewaga -0.758%
Kelly -2.02%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.60
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
59.95%61.92%61.73%65.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.441.541.551.6069.44%64.75%64.52%62.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Jan-Lennard Struff (Gospodarze): 38.26%; Alejandro Tabilo (Goście): 61.74%. Dla wyniku Jan-Lennard Struff (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.61. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.75, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +5.21%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +5.21%E +1.89%K +2.98%G +0.155% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -11.09%E -7.70%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 12:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV +0.236%E +0.090%K +0.146%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -7.39%E -4.92%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 06:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.44%E -0.958%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.82%E -1.11%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.82%E -1.11%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 19:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.21%E -1.27%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -3.21%E -1.27%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.59%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.45%E -1.55%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -3.97%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -1.83%E -1.15%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 19:13 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 17:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 11:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 17:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.39%E -4.92%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.39%E -4.92%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.39%E -4.92%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.24%E -6.29%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -4.74%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -1.21%E -0.758%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.12%E -2.06%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 19:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.15%E -4.05%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.77%E -4.48%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -6.65%E -2.73%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 18:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -7.42%E -3.06%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -6.15%E -4.05%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 11:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.68%E -2.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.15%E -4.05%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 18:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -9.33%E -3.94%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -9.33%E -3.94%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.09%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.09%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.06%E -1.95%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.09%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.92%E -3.19%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 18:40 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84% | 2.4% | 2026-08-15 19:05 |