Language:English
Jaime Faria v Adam Walton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jaime Faria (Local)
Prediction 57.73%1.73fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%57.77%57.74%59.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.641.651.6963.69%60.97%60.61%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Adam Walton (Visit)
Prediction 42.27%2.37fair odd
EV +1.45%
Edge +0.602%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.30%42.23%42.26%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.242.232.4046.51%44.67%44.84%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaime Faria (Local): 57.73%; Adam Walton (Visit): 42.27%. For Adam Walton (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.45%E +0.602%K +1.03%G +0.015% | 3.4% | 2026-08-18 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.45%E +0.602%K +1.03%G +0.015% | 3.4% | 2026-08-18 20:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.01%E -1.79%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.51%E -0.649%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-18 20:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.01%E -1.79%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.51%E -0.649%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-18 21:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -2.36%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 20:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -2.36%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 21:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.01%E -1.79%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.78%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 21:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.78%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-18 20:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.78%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 20:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.63%E -1.59%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-18 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.01%E -1.79%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 21:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-18 19:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 20:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 20:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 20:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.32%E -3.24%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 20:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 20:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 20:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 20:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 20:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 19:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-18 18:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-18 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 20:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 20:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 04:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 20:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 21:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 20:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.32%E -3.24%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 20:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.32%E -3.24%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 20:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.32%E -3.24%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 20:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 20:53 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 20:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 20:53 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 20:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 20:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 19:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 20:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.85%E -3.60%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.43%E -1.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 13:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 20:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.32%E -3.24%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 20:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 0.3% | 2026-08-18 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 21:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 21:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-08-18 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86% | 2.3% | 2026-08-18 21:00 |