Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jaime Faria v Adam Walton

Início: 2026-08-18 21:05 UTC

Final: Jaime Faria 2–1 Adam Walton

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jaime Faria (Local)

Previsão 57.73%1.73odd justa
EV -2.43%
Vantagem -1.44%
Kelly -3.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.99%57.77%57.74%59.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.571.641.651.6963.69%60.97%60.61%59.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Adam Walton (Visitante)

Previsão 42.27%2.37odd justa
EV +1.45%
Vantagem +0.602%
Kelly +1.03%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.30%42.23%42.26%44.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.242.232.4046.51%44.67%44.84%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jaime Faria (Local): 57.73%; Adam Walton (Visitante): 42.27%. Para Adam Walton (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.37. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.45%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.45%E +0.602%K +1.03%G +0.015%3.4%2026-08-18 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.45%E +0.602%K +1.03%G +0.015%3.4%2026-08-18 20:55
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.01%E -1.79%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.51%E -0.649%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-18 20:50
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.01%E -1.79%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.51%E -0.649%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-18 21:00
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -2.36%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 20:35
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -2.36%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 21:00
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.01%E -1.79%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.78%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 21:00
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.78%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 20:05
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.78%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 20:54
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.63%E -1.59%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.01%E -1.79%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 21:00
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 19:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 13:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 20:59
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 20:04
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 13:25
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 20:55
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 20:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.32%E -3.24%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 20:50
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 20:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 20:50
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 20:35
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 20:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 19:25
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 18:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-18 13:25
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-18 18:55
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-18 18:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 14:05
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 13:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 13:20
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 13:25
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 13:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 13:20
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 13:25
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 13:25
ReBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 20:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 13:25
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 13:25
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 13:25
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 20:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 04:49
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 20:40
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 21:00
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 20:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.32%E -3.24%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.32%E -3.24%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 20:05
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.32%E -3.24%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 20:05
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 20:53
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 20:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 20:53
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 20:40
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 20:00
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 19:59
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 20:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.85%E -3.60%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 13:20
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.43%E -1.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 13:34
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 20:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.32%E -3.24%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 20:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-08-18 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-18 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-18 21:00
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-18 21:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-18 21:00
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-18 20:55
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-08-18 21:00