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Jaime Faria v Adam Walton
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Jaime Faria (Хозяева)
Прогноз 57.73%1.73справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.43%
Преимущество -1.44%
Kelly -3.53%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.69
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
55.99%57.77%57.74%59.70%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.571.641.651.6963.69%60.97%60.61%59.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Adam Walton (Гости)
Прогноз 42.27%2.37справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.45%
Преимущество +0.602%
Kelly +1.03%
Рост +0.015%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
40.30%42.23%42.26%44.01%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.152.242.232.4046.51%44.67%44.84%41.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Jaime Faria (Хозяева): 57.73%; Adam Walton (Гости): 42.27%. Для исхода «Adam Walton (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.37. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.40, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.45%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.45%E +0.602%K +1.03%G +0.015% | 3.4% | 2026-08-18 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +1.45%E +0.602%K +1.03%G +0.015% | 3.4% | 2026-08-18 20:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.01%E -1.79%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.51%E -0.649%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-18 20:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.01%E -1.79%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.51%E -0.649%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-18 21:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -2.36%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 20:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -2.36%E -1.02%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 21:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.01%E -1.79%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.78%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 21:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.78%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-18 20:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.78%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-18 20:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.63%E -1.59%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-18 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.01%E -1.79%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 21:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-18 19:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 20:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 20:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 20:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 20:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.32%E -3.24%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-18 20:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 20:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 20:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 20:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 20:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 19:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-18 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.36%E -5.96%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.89%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-18 18:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-18 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 20:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.17%E -2.51%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.74%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 20:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.59%E -2.15%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 04:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 20:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 21:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 20:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.32%E -3.24%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 20:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.32%E -3.24%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 20:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.32%E -3.24%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 20:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 20:53 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 20:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 20:53 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.05%E -4.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 20:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 20:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 19:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.63%E -4.77%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 20:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.48%E -4.00%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.85%E -3.60%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-18 13:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.43%E -1.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 13:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.74%E -2.88%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 20:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.32%E -3.24%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -9.12%E -4.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 20:30 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 0.3% | 2026-08-18 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 21:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 21:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-08-18 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86% | 2.3% | 2026-08-18 21:00 |