Language:English
Fabian Marozsan v Michael Zheng
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fabian Marozsan (Local)
Prediction 43.51%2.30fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.739%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%43.71%43.45%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.172.202.2647.62%46.00%45.45%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Michael Zheng (Visit)
Prediction 56.49%1.77fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.652%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.29%56.55%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.681.671.7562.11%59.60%59.88%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fabian Marozsan (Local): 43.51%; Michael Zheng (Visit): 56.49%. For Michael Zheng (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.75, with an expected value of -1.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.67%E -0.739%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.10%E -0.935%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.97%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 20:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.41%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -3.41%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 20:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 11:33 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 12:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 20:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 20:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.48%E -5.24%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.48%E -5.24%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -4.71%E -2.15%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -1.14%E -0.652%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-14 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 20:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.59%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 20:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.59%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 20:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 20:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 08:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 08:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.92%E -4.86%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 13:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 20:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 20:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 15:58 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.48%E -5.24%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 20:43 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.05%E -5.62%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-14 20:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 20:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 20:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39% | 1.9% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |